Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 17:15 •
Estadio Pedro EscartÃn
Expected Goals
0.76 (league 1.37)
0.39 (league 1.03)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 40.9% | 41.8% | 17.3% |
best score tips
0 - 0
31.7%
1 - 0
24.1%
0 - 1
12.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Lugo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Guadalajara | 0 | 31.7% | 12.4% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 24.1% | 9.4% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 9.1% | 3.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Guadalajara | Lugo |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 60% |
| Attack | 46% | 38% |
| Defense | 23% | 85% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
60%
FT probability
2.5+
42%
FT probability
3.5+
30%
FT probability
BTTS
50%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Guadalajara | Lugo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| Wins | 25% | 50% | 38% | 60% | 0% | 30% |
| Draws | 0% | 25% | 13% | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Loses | 75% | 25% | 50% | 0% | 60% | 30% |
Form: Guadalajara: LWWWDLLL • Lugo: LDLWLWDWDD
League goals
| Metric | Guadalajara | Lugo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 8 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 8 | 4 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| GA avg | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Guadalajara | Lugo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 63% | 50% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 38% | 50% | 30% | 20% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 25% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 13% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Guadalajara | Lugo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Guadalajara | Lugo |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Guadalajara | Lugo |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 1-3 | 2-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 3-0 | — | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Guadalajara | Lugo |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 31% | 69% |
| Att | 55% | 45% |
| Def | 17% | 83% |
| Poisson Distribution | 65% | 35% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 42.0% | 58.0% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Lugo and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Guadalajara = 0.76 (league 1.37), Lugo = 0.39 (league 1.03)
| Lugo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Guadalajara | 0 | 31.7% | 12.4% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 24.1% | 9.4% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 9.1% | 3.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.9% · Draw 41.8% · Away win 17.3%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1