Sat, Nov 8 2025 • 20:00 • Estadio Junior Mejía
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.46 (league 1.39) 4.19 (league 1.34)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
7.6% 9.1% 58.6%
best score tips
1 - 4
6.6%
1 - 3
6.3%
1 - 5
5.5%
Score & goals probability table
Salcedo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Jarabacoa 0 0.4% 1.5% 3.1% 4.3% 4.5% 3.8%
1 0.5% 2.2% 4.5% 6.3% 6.6% 5.5%
2 0.4% 1.6% 3.3% 4.6% 4.8% 4.0%
3 0.2% 0.8% 1.6% 2.2% 2.4% 2.0%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.6% 0.8% 0.9% 0.7%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.3% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricJarabacoaSalcedo
Played55
Form33%80%
Attack35%40%
Defense60%85%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.63 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

68%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Jarabacoa Salcedo
HATHAT
Played66126612
Wins17%33%25%100%33%67%
Draws50%0%25%0%50%25%
Loses33%67%50%0%17%8%

Form: Jarabacoa: LWDLLLWWDLDL • Salcedo: WWDWDDWLWWWW

League goals

Metric Jarabacoa Salcedo
HATHAT
GF total751291726
GF avg1.20.81.01.52.82.2
GA total1271921012
GA avg2.01.21.60.31.71.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineJarabacoaSalcedo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%83%92%58%
1.525%50%50%17%
2.58%17%33%8%
3.50%8%17%8%
4.50%0%17%8%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricJarabacoaSalcedo
HATHAT
Clean sheets022415
Failed to score134011

Penalties

MetricJarabacoaSalcedo
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricJarabacoaSalcedo
Wins22
Draws12
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-33-10-6
Biggest losses0-42-0—1-0
Goals For2336
Goals Against4215

Model comparison

MetricJarabacoaSalcedo
Form29%71%
Att47%53%
Def27%73%
Poisson Distribution25%75%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total32.0%68.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Salcedo

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.18 @ 1xBet
Draw3.75 @ Bet365
Away1.62 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.82 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.05 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ Marathonbet
No1.87 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Jarabacoa = 1.46 (league 1.39), Salcedo = 4.19 (league 1.34)

Salcedo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Jarabacoa 0 0.4% 1.5% 3.1% 4.3% 4.5% 3.8%
1 0.5% 2.2% 4.5% 6.3% 6.6% 5.5%
2 0.4% 1.6% 3.3% 4.6% 4.8% 4.0%
3 0.2% 0.8% 1.6% 2.2% 2.4% 2.0%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.6% 0.8% 0.9% 0.7%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.3% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 7.6% · Draw 9.1% · Away win 58.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1