Mon, Nov 10 2025 • 19:30 • Stadio Arechi
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.16 (league 1.55) 2.59 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
14.9% 16.9% 63.2%
best score tips
1 - 2
9.1%
1 - 3
7.9%
0 - 2
7.8%
Score & goals probability table
Crotone
0 1 2 3 4 5
Salernitana 0 2.3% 6.0% 7.8% 6.8% 4.4% 2.3%
1 2.7% 7.0% 9.1% 7.9% 5.1% 2.7%
2 1.6% 4.1% 5.3% 4.6% 3.0% 1.5%
3 0.6% 1.6% 2.1% 1.8% 1.2% 0.6%
4 0.2% 0.5% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSalernitanaCrotone
Played55
Form67%40%
Attack43%50%
Defense64%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

82%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Salernitana Crotone
HATHAT
Played66127512
Wins83%50%67%29%60%42%
Draws0%33%17%14%20%17%
Loses17%17%17%57%20%42%

Form: Salernitana: WWWWWLDWWLWD • Crotone: LWDDWWLWWLLL

League goals

Metric Salernitana Crotone
HATHAT
GF total1171871219
GF avg1.81.21.51.02.41.6
GA total76136511
GA avg1.21.01.10.91.00.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSalernitanaCrotone
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%67%67%58%
1.558%33%50%25%
2.58%8%33%8%
3.50%0%8%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSalernitanaCrotone
HATHAT
Clean sheets224325
Failed to score022314

Penalties

MetricSalernitanaCrotone
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricSalernitanaCrotone
Wins52
Draws12
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-21-23-00-4
Biggest losses2-32-01-21-0
Goals For3234
Goals Against3223

Model comparison

MetricSalernitanaCrotone
Form63%38%
Att46%54%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution32%68%
H2h50%50%
Goals45%55%
Total46.7%53.5%

Advice: Double chance : Salernitana or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.05 @ Betfair
Draw3.30 @ 10Bet
Away3.85 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.03 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.85 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.86 @ 188Bet
No2.13 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Salernitana = 1.16 (league 1.55), Crotone = 2.59 (league 1.11)

Crotone
0 1 2 3 4 5
Salernitana 0 2.3% 6.0% 7.8% 6.8% 4.4% 2.3%
1 2.7% 7.0% 9.1% 7.9% 5.1% 2.7%
2 1.6% 4.1% 5.3% 4.6% 3.0% 1.5%
3 0.6% 1.6% 2.1% 1.8% 1.2% 0.6%
4 0.2% 0.5% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 14.9% · Draw 16.9% · Away win 63.2%

Vtot 12 , Vtod1