Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 22:15 •
El Coloso
Expected Goals
1.24 (league 1.31)
0.62 (league 0.73)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 51.1% | 30.1% | 18.6% |
best score tips
1 - 0
19.3%
0 - 0
15.6%
1 - 1
12.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Gimnasia Chivilcoy | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| 9 de Julio Rafaela | 0 | 15.6% | 9.7% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 19.3% | 12.0% | 3.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.9% | 7.4% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.9% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | 9 de Julio Rafaela | Gimnasia Chivilcoy |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 73% | 53% |
| Attack | 91% | 55% |
| Defense | 73% | 45% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
59%
FT probability
2.5+
41%
FT probability
3.5+
29%
FT probability
BTTS
57%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | 9 de Julio Rafaela | Gimnasia Chivilcoy | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 14 | 29 | 16 | 16 | 32 |
| Wins | 53% | 14% | 34% | 75% | 6% | 41% |
| Draws | 33% | 36% | 34% | 13% | 69% | 41% |
| Loses | 13% | 50% | 31% | 13% | 25% | 19% |
Form: 9 de Julio Rafaela: DLWLLLLDWWDLWLWWDDWDDLDLWDWWD • Gimnasia Chivilcoy: WDWDWWDWDDLDDDLDWWLWDWDWLWLLDWDW
League goals
| Metric | 9 de Julio Rafaela | Gimnasia Chivilcoy | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 27 | 7 | 34 | 26 | 8 | 34 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 13 | 16 | 29 | 13 | 14 | 27 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | 9 de Julio Rafaela | Gimnasia Chivilcoy | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 66% | 66% | 69% | 56% |
| 1.5 | 31% | 24% | 31% | 22% |
| 2.5 | 10% | 7% | 6% | 6% |
| 3.5 | 7% | 3% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | 9 de Julio Rafaela | Gimnasia Chivilcoy | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 4 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 14 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 7 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 10 |
Penalties
| Metric | 9 de Julio Rafaela | Gimnasia Chivilcoy |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | 9 de Julio Rafaela | Gimnasia Chivilcoy |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 4 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 0-1 | 3-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 3-0 | 1-3 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 5 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | 9 de Julio Rafaela | Gimnasia Chivilcoy |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 58% | 42% |
| Att | 63% | 38% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 67% | 33% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 57% | 43% |
| Total | 60.3% | 39.8% |
Advice: Double chance : 9 de Julio Rafaela or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): 9 de Julio Rafaela = 1.24 (league 1.31), Gimnasia Chivilcoy = 0.62 (league 0.73)
| Gimnasia Chivilcoy | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| 9 de Julio Rafaela | 0 | 15.6% | 9.7% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 19.3% | 12.0% | 3.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.9% | 7.4% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.9% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 51.1% · Draw 30.1% · Away win 18.6%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1