NWSL Women — USA
Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 20:00 • Providence Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.54 (league 1.21) 1.46 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
39.1% 24.3% 35.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.2%
2 - 1
8.6%
1 - 2
8.2%
Score & goals probability table
San Diego Wave W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Portland Thorns W 0 5.0% 7.3% 5.3% 2.6% 0.9% 0.3%
1 7.7% 11.2% 8.2% 4.0% 1.5% 0.4%
2 5.9% 8.6% 6.3% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3%
3 3.0% 4.4% 3.2% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
4 1.2% 1.7% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPortland Thorns WSan Diego Wave W
Played55
Form60%40%
Attack60%100%
Defense50%10%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.212 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 19 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

77%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Portland Thorns W San Diego Wave W
HATHAT
Played131326131326
Wins54%31%42%31%46%38%
Draws31%23%27%23%31%27%
Loses15%46%31%46%23%35%

Form: Portland Thorns W: LDDWLWDWDWLWWLWDLLWDDLWLWW • San Diego Wave W: DWLLWWWDWWLWDDDWLDLLDLLWWL

League goals

Metric Portland Thorns W San Diego Wave W
HATHAT
GF total221436202141
GF avg1.71.11.41.51.61.6
GA total131629201434
GA avg1.01.21.11.51.11.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePortland Thorns WSan Diego Wave W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.577%73%73%81%
1.535%27%35%46%
2.515%12%27%4%
3.512%0%12%0%
4.50%0%8%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPortland Thorns WSan Diego Wave W
HATHAT
Clean sheets527145
Failed to score246527

Penalties

MetricPortland Thorns WSan Diego Wave W
Scored (total | %)7 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total70

Streaks

MetricPortland Thorns WSan Diego Wave W
Wins23
Draws23
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-46-11-4
Biggest losses0-23-00-32-1
Goals For4464
Goals Against3332

Model comparison

MetricPortland Thorns WSan Diego Wave W
Form60%40%
Att33%67%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution50%50%
H2h38%62%
Goals42%58%
Total47.8%52.2%

Advice: Double chance : Portland Thorns W or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.48 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.47 @ Pinnacle
Away2.65 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.81 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.02 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ Bet365
No2.25 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Portland Thorns W = 1.54 (league 1.21), San Diego Wave W = 1.46 (league 1.10)

San Diego Wave W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Portland Thorns W 0 5.0% 7.3% 5.3% 2.6% 0.9% 0.3%
1 7.7% 11.2% 8.2% 4.0% 1.5% 0.4%
2 5.9% 8.6% 6.3% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3%
3 3.0% 4.4% 3.2% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
4 1.2% 1.7% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.1% · Draw 24.3% · Away win 35.7%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1