Wed, Nov 12 2025 • 19:30 • The Bourne Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.46 (league 1.97) 1.40 (league 1.49)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
38.6% 25.0% 35.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.7%
2 - 1
8.6%
1 - 0
8.4%
Score & goals probability table
Ashford United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sevenoaks Town 0 5.7% 8.0% 5.6% 2.6% 0.9% 0.3%
1 8.4% 11.7% 8.2% 3.8% 1.3% 0.4%
2 6.1% 8.6% 6.0% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3%
3 3.0% 4.2% 2.9% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
4 1.1% 1.5% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSevenoaks TownAshford United
Played55
Form20%27%
Attack24%52%
Defense48%62%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 111 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

68%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sevenoaks Town Ashford United
HATHAT
Played88168614
Wins50%13%31%25%17%21%
Draws0%13%6%38%0%21%
Loses50%75%63%38%83%57%

Form: Sevenoaks Town: LDWWWLLLLLWLLLWL • Ashford United: LDLDWLLWLWLLDL

League goals

Metric Sevenoaks Town Ashford United
HATHAT
GF total13102317825
GF avg1.61.31.42.11.31.8
GA total132134161127
GA avg1.62.62.12.01.81.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSevenoaks TownAshford United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%75%71%93%
1.544%69%43%64%
2.519%38%29%29%
3.56%25%14%7%
4.50%6%14%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSevenoaks TownAshford United
HATHAT
Clean sheets314011
Failed to score134134

Penalties

MetricSevenoaks TownAshford United
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricSevenoaks TownAshford United
Wins31
Draws11
Losses52

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-25-20-6
Biggest losses1-44-01-24-0
Goals For4356
Goals Against4534

Model comparison

MetricSevenoaks TownAshford United
Form43%57%
Att31%69%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution51%49%
H2h38%62%
Goals50%50%
Total42.5%57.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Ashford United

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sevenoaks Town = 1.46 (league 1.97), Ashford United = 1.40 (league 1.49)

Ashford United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sevenoaks Town 0 5.7% 8.0% 5.6% 2.6% 0.9% 0.3%
1 8.4% 11.7% 8.2% 3.8% 1.3% 0.4%
2 6.1% 8.6% 6.0% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3%
3 3.0% 4.2% 2.9% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
4 1.1% 1.5% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.6% · Draw 25.0% · Away win 35.7%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1