Primera A — Colombia
Thu, Nov 13 2025 • 01:20 • Estadio La Independencia
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.94 (league 1.11) 1.25 (league 0.79)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
27.8% 28.7% 43.2%
best score tips
0 - 1
14.0%
1 - 1
13.2%
0 - 0
11.2%
Score & goals probability table
Millonarios
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chico 0 11.2% 14.0% 8.7% 3.6% 1.1% 0.3%
1 10.5% 13.2% 8.2% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3%
2 5.0% 6.2% 3.9% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
3 1.6% 1.9% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricChicoMillonarios
Played55
Form27%40%
Attack18%45%
Defense55%55%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

58%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Chico Millonarios
HATHAT
Played192039232245
Wins26%10%18%48%36%42%
Draws53%25%38%35%23%29%
Loses21%65%44%17%41%29%

Form: Chico: WLDLLWDDDDLLDDLLDWWLDWLDLDLDWLLDLDLDWLL • Millonarios: WWDLWLWLWLWWWDDWDDWWWDDDWLLLLDLLWWDWLWLWLDWDD

League goals

Metric Chico Millonarios
HATHAT
GF total151227312556
GF avg0.80.60.71.31.11.2
GA total184058182846
GA avg0.92.01.50.81.31.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineChicoMillonarios
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.551%67%71%56%
1.518%46%40%33%
2.50%21%11%13%
3.50%13%2%0%
4.50%3%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricChicoMillonarios
HATHAT
Clean sheets941312820
Failed to score811197613

Penalties

MetricChicoMillonarios
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%6 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total56

Streaks

MetricChicoMillonarios
Wins23
Draws43
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-23-01-3
Biggest losses1-44-01-23-0
Goals For2243
Goals Against4533

Model comparison

MetricChicoMillonarios
Form40%60%
Att29%71%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution40%60%
H2h29%71%
Goals30%70%
Total36.3%63.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Millonarios and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.10 @ Betano
Draw4.00 @ Betano
Away1.78 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.05 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.93 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.93 @ Unibet
No1.90 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Chico = 0.94 (league 1.11), Millonarios = 1.25 (league 0.79)

Millonarios
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chico 0 11.2% 14.0% 8.7% 3.6% 1.1% 0.3%
1 10.5% 13.2% 8.2% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3%
2 5.0% 6.2% 3.9% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
3 1.6% 1.9% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 27.8% · Draw 28.7% · Away win 43.2%

Vtot 11 , Vtod1