Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 11:00 •
Gusii Stadium
Expected Goals
0.15 (league 1.00)
0.97 (league 0.88)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 5.7% | 37.6% | 56.6% |
best score tips
0 - 0
32.7%
0 - 1
31.6%
0 - 2
15.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Mathare United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| APS Bomet | 0 | 32.7% | 31.6% | 15.3% | 4.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 4.9% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | APS Bomet | Mathare United |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 27% |
| Attack | 21% | 14% |
| Defense | 57% | 57% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 2 | 0.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
0.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
51%
FT probability
2.5+
36%
FT probability
3.5+
26%
FT probability
BTTS
53%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | APS Bomet | Mathare United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| Wins | 0% | 33% | 17% | 0% | 50% | 29% |
| Draws | 0% | 33% | 17% | 0% | 25% | 14% |
| Loses | 100% | 33% | 67% | 100% | 25% | 57% |
Form: APS Bomet: LLLWLD • Mathare United: LWDLWLL
League goals
| Metric | APS Bomet | Mathare United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| GF avg | 0.3 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.6 |
| GA total | 5 | 5 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 8 |
| GA avg | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | APS Bomet | Mathare United | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 83% | 57% | 57% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 50% | 0% | 57% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 17% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 17% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | APS Bomet | Mathare United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | APS Bomet | Mathare United |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | APS Bomet | Mathare United |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 1-2 | — | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 4-2 | 0-2 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | APS Bomet | Mathare United |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 60% | 40% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 19% | 81% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 44.8% | 55.3% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : APS Bomet or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): APS Bomet = 0.15 (league 1.00), Mathare United = 0.97 (league 0.88)
| Mathare United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| APS Bomet | 0 | 32.7% | 31.6% | 15.3% | 4.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 4.9% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 5.7% · Draw 37.6% · Away win 56.6%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1