Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 21:00 • Estadio Rogelio Silvino Livieres
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.84 (league 1.27) 1.14 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
52.7% 22.8% 23.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.7%
2 - 1
9.8%
1 - 0
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
Libertad Asuncion
0 1 2 3 4 5
Club Guarani 0 5.1% 5.8% 3.3% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
1 9.4% 10.7% 6.1% 2.3% 0.7% 0.1%
2 8.6% 9.8% 5.6% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
3 5.3% 6.0% 3.4% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
4 2.4% 2.8% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.9% 1.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricClub GuaraniLibertad Asuncion
Played55
Form67%20%
Attack54%46%
Defense69%38%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.88 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Club Guarani Libertad Asuncion
HATHAT
Played9101910919
Wins78%50%63%10%33%21%
Draws11%20%16%40%44%42%
Loses11%30%21%50%22%37%

Form: Club Guarani: WLDWWWWLWWWLWDWDWWL • Libertad Asuncion: LDLWWWDDLDDWLLDLLDD

League goals

Metric Club Guarani Libertad Asuncion
HATHAT
GF total23163981422
GF avg2.61.62.10.81.61.2
GA total7101714822
GA avg0.81.00.91.40.91.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineClub GuaraniLibertad Asuncion
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.579%63%58%68%
1.558%16%32%32%
2.547%5%16%11%
3.521%5%11%5%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricClub GuaraniLibertad Asuncion
HATHAT
Clean sheets527156
Failed to score134538

Penalties

MetricClub GuaraniLibertad Asuncion
Scored (total | %)6 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total60

Streaks

MetricClub GuaraniLibertad Asuncion
Wins43
Draws12
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-43-10-4
Biggest losses3-41-00-43-1
Goals For4434
Goals Against4243

Model comparison

MetricClub GuaraniLibertad Asuncion
Form77%23%
Att54%46%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution61%39%
H2h80%20%
Goals75%25%
Total69.0%31.0%

Advice: Double chance : Club Guarani or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.45 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.40 @ Unibet
Away2.93 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.05 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.90 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.79 @ Pinnacle
No2.07 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Club Guarani = 1.84 (league 1.27), Libertad Asuncion = 1.14 (league 1.13)

Libertad Asuncion
0 1 2 3 4 5
Club Guarani 0 5.1% 5.8% 3.3% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
1 9.4% 10.7% 6.1% 2.3% 0.7% 0.1%
2 8.6% 9.8% 5.6% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
3 5.3% 6.0% 3.4% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
4 2.4% 2.8% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.9% 1.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 52.7% · Draw 22.8% · Away win 23.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1