Wed, Nov 12 2025 • 11:00 •
Stade Urunani
Expected Goals
1.49 (league 1.45)
0.83 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 52.6% | 26.3% | 20.7% |
best score tips
1 - 0
14.7%
1 - 1
12.1%
2 - 0
11.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Le Messager Ngozi | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Muzinga | 0 | 9.8% | 8.1% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 14.7% | 12.1% | 5.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.0% | 9.1% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.5% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Muzinga | Le Messager Ngozi |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 33% |
| Attack | 50% | 36% |
| Defense | 64% | 57% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
68%
FT probability
2.5+
48%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Muzinga | Le Messager Ngozi | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 5 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
| Wins | 33% | 60% | 45% | 20% | 17% | 18% |
| Draws | 50% | 20% | 36% | 40% | 33% | 36% |
| Loses | 17% | 20% | 18% | 40% | 50% | 45% |
Form: Muzinga: WDWWDLDDWLW • Le Messager Ngozi: DWLLDLLWLDD
League goals
| Metric | Muzinga | Le Messager Ngozi | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 7 | 7 | 14 | 3 | 6 | 9 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 6 | 5 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 15 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Muzinga | Le Messager Ngozi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 82% | 73% | 64% | 73% |
| 1.5 | 36% | 27% | 18% | 27% |
| 2.5 | 9% | 0% | 0% | 27% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 9% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Muzinga | Le Messager Ngozi | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Muzinga | Le Messager Ngozi |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Muzinga | Le Messager Ngozi |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 1-3 | 1-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 2-0 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Muzinga | Le Messager Ngozi |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 62% | 38% |
| Att | 58% | 42% |
| Def | 55% | 45% |
| Poisson Distribution | 65% | 35% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 0% | 100% |
| Total | 60.0% | 40.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Muzinga or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Muzinga = 1.49 (league 1.45), Le Messager Ngozi = 0.83 (league 1.21)
| Le Messager Ngozi | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Muzinga | 0 | 9.8% | 8.1% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 14.7% | 12.1% | 5.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.0% | 9.1% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.5% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 52.6% · Draw 26.3% · Away win 20.7%
Vtot 4 , Vtod1