Sun, Nov 16 2025 • 21:00 • Estadio Jorge Gonzalez
Match Finished
3 - 3
Expected Goals
1.88 (league 1.20) 3.09 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
20.5% 16.1% 53.0%
best score tips
1 - 3
6.4%
1 - 2
6.3%
2 - 3
6.0%
Score & goals probability table
Firpo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Águila 0 0.7% 2.2% 3.3% 3.4% 2.6% 1.6%
1 1.3% 4.0% 6.3% 6.4% 5.0% 3.1%
2 1.2% 3.8% 5.9% 6.0% 4.7% 2.9%
3 0.8% 2.4% 3.7% 3.8% 2.9% 1.8%
4 0.4% 1.1% 1.7% 1.8% 1.4% 0.8%
5 0.1% 0.4% 0.6% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricÁguilaFirpo
Played55
Form73%100%
Attack67%100%
Defense67%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 215 | 3
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%
FT probability

2.5+

64%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Águila Firpo
HATHAT
Played101121111021
Wins50%36%43%73%70%71%
Draws20%27%24%18%20%19%
Loses30%36%33%9%10%10%

Form: Águila: WDWLDWWLLLLLLWWDDDWWW • Firpo: WWDWWWDLWWWDWLDWWWWWW

League goals

Metric Águila Firpo
HATHAT
GF total151025182846
GF avg1.50.91.21.62.82.2
GA total13102381523
GA avg1.30.91.10.71.51.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineÁguilaFirpo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%71%90%67%
1.533%29%67%24%
2.514%10%52%10%
3.50%0%10%5%
4.50%0%0%5%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricÁguilaFirpo
HATHAT
Clean sheets336707
Failed to score156202

Penalties

MetricÁguilaFirpo
Scored (total | %)2 | 66.67%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)1 | 33.33%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricÁguilaFirpo
Wins23
Draws31
Losses61

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-33-01-4
Biggest losses0-32-00-52-1
Goals For3334
Goals Against3253

Model comparison

MetricÁguilaFirpo
Form42%58%
Att40%60%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution39%61%
H2h40%60%
Goals50%50%
Total43.5%56.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Firpo and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.85 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.40 @ Bet365
Away2.54 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.04 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.80 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.75 @ William Hill
No2.07 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Águila = 1.88 (league 1.20), Firpo = 3.09 (league 1.18)

Firpo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Águila 0 0.7% 2.2% 3.3% 3.4% 2.6% 1.6%
1 1.3% 4.0% 6.3% 6.4% 5.0% 3.1%
2 1.2% 3.8% 5.9% 6.0% 4.7% 2.9%
3 0.8% 2.4% 3.7% 3.8% 2.9% 1.8%
4 0.4% 1.1% 1.7% 1.8% 1.4% 0.8%
5 0.1% 0.4% 0.6% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 20.5% · Draw 16.1% · Away win 53.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1