Friendlies — World
Wed, Nov 19 2025 • 00:00 • Raymond James Stadium
Match Finished

USA

5 - 1
Expected Goals
0.53 (league 1.51) 1.19 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
16.5% 31.1% 52.3%
best score tips
0 - 1
21.3%
0 - 0
17.9%
0 - 2
12.7%
Score & goals probability table
Uruguay
0 1 2 3 4 5
USA 0 17.9% 21.3% 12.7% 5.0% 1.5% 0.4%
1 9.5% 11.3% 6.7% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
2 2.5% 3.0% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
3 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUSAUruguay
Played53
Form67%78%
Attack70%30%
Defense50%90%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.43 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 11 | 0.3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric USA Uruguay
HATHAT
Played909123
Wins56%—56%100%50%67%
Draws11%—11%0%50%33%
Loses33%—33%0%0%0%

Form: USA: WWLLLWDWW • Uruguay: WWD

League goals

Metric USA Uruguay
HATHAT
GF total14014123
GF avg1.60.01.61.01.01.0
GA total12012011
GA avg1.30.01.30.00.50.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUSAUruguay
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%78%67%33%
1.556%33%33%0%
2.522%11%0%0%
3.50%11%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUSAUruguay
HATHAT
Clean sheets202112
Failed to score202011

Penalties

MetricUSAUruguay
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricUSAUruguay
Wins22
Draws10
Losses30

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-0—1-01-2
Biggest losses0-4———
Goals For3012
Goals Against4001

Model comparison

MetricUSAUruguay
Form59%41%
Att70%30%
Def17%83%
Poisson Distribution30%70%
H2h29%71%
Goals33%67%
Total39.7%60.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Uruguay and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.64 @ 1xBet
Draw3.30 @ Bet365
Away2.75 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.42 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.65 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.04 @ Pinnacle
No1.81 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): USA = 0.53 (league 1.51), Uruguay = 1.19 (league 1.09)

Uruguay
0 1 2 3 4 5
USA 0 17.9% 21.3% 12.7% 5.0% 1.5% 0.4%
1 9.5% 11.3% 6.7% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
2 2.5% 3.0% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
3 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 16.5% · Draw 31.1% · Away win 52.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1