Wed, Nov 19 2025 • 01:00 • Stadion Ergilio Hato
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.69 (league 1.36) 1.77 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
36.5% 22.4% 39.3%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.4%
1 - 2
8.3%
2 - 1
8.0%
Score & goals probability table
Nicaragua
0 1 2 3 4 5
Haiti 0 3.1% 5.6% 4.9% 2.9% 1.3% 0.4%
1 5.3% 9.4% 8.3% 4.9% 2.2% 0.8%
2 4.5% 8.0% 7.0% 4.1% 1.8% 0.6%
3 2.5% 4.5% 4.0% 2.3% 1.0% 0.4%
4 1.1% 1.9% 1.7% 1.0% 0.4% 0.2%
5 0.4% 0.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHaitiNicaragua
Played55
Form53%27%
Attack41%24%
Defense65%41%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.210 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

89%
FT probability

2.5+

63%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Haiti Nicaragua
HATHAT
Played459549
Wins50%60%56%60%25%44%
Draws25%20%22%20%0%11%
Loses25%20%22%20%75%44%

Form: Haiti: WWWLDDWLW • Nicaragua: WWWLDLLLW

League goals

Metric Haiti Nicaragua
HATHAT
GF total414188513
GF avg1.02.82.01.61.31.4
GA total67135914
GA avg1.51.41.41.02.31.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHaitiNicaragua
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%56%67%67%
1.556%33%33%44%
2.544%33%22%33%
3.511%11%22%11%
4.511%11%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHaitiNicaragua
HATHAT
Clean sheets224213
Failed to score112123

Penalties

MetricHaitiNicaragua
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total03

Streaks

MetricHaitiNicaragua
Wins33
Draws21
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-54-10-4
Biggest losses1-53-00-34-1
Goals For2544
Goals Against5334

Model comparison

MetricHaitiNicaragua
Form67%33%
Att64%36%
Def63%38%
Poisson Distribution48%52%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total60.5%39.8%

Advice: Double chance : Haiti or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.27 @ Unibet
Draw6.91 @ 1xBet
Away14.50 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.81 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.30 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.36 @ 188Bet
No1.66 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Haiti = 1.69 (league 1.36), Nicaragua = 1.77 (league 1.10)

Nicaragua
0 1 2 3 4 5
Haiti 0 3.1% 5.6% 4.9% 2.9% 1.3% 0.4%
1 5.3% 9.4% 8.3% 4.9% 2.2% 0.8%
2 4.5% 8.0% 7.0% 4.1% 1.8% 0.6%
3 2.5% 4.5% 4.0% 2.3% 1.0% 0.4%
4 1.1% 1.9% 1.7% 1.0% 0.4% 0.2%
5 0.4% 0.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 36.5% · Draw 22.4% · Away win 39.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1