First League — Russia
Mon, Nov 17 2025 • 16:30 • Stadion Urozhay
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.45 (league 1.25) 1.35 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
39.3% 25.2% 34.8%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.9%
1 - 0
8.8%
2 - 1
8.6%
Score & goals probability table
Rodina Moskva
0 1 2 3 4 5
Spartak Kostroma 0 6.1% 8.2% 5.5% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
1 8.8% 11.9% 8.0% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3%
2 6.4% 8.6% 5.8% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2%
3 3.1% 4.2% 2.8% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.1% 1.5% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSpartak KostromaRodina Moskva
Played55
Form33%73%
Attack57%50%
Defense43%79%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.63 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Spartak Kostroma Rodina Moskva
HATHAT
Played8101810818
Wins38%60%50%50%38%44%
Draws50%20%33%40%38%39%
Loses13%20%17%10%25%17%

Form: Spartak Kostroma: LWDWWWWDWWWDDDLDWL • Rodina Moskva: DLLDDDWWWWLWDWWDWD

League goals

Metric Spartak Kostroma Rodina Moskva
HATHAT
GF total111829151126
GF avg1.41.81.61.51.41.4
GA total8122061016
GA avg1.01.21.10.61.30.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSpartak KostromaRodina Moskva
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%89%78%56%
1.556%17%44%17%
2.517%6%11%11%
3.56%0%6%6%
4.50%0%6%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSpartak KostromaRodina Moskva
HATHAT
Clean sheets022628
Failed to score123134

Penalties

MetricSpartak KostromaRodina Moskva
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total33

Streaks

MetricSpartak KostromaRodina Moskva
Wins44
Draws33
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-12-43-01-5
Biggest losses0-13-21-34-0
Goals For3435
Goals Against1334

Model comparison

MetricSpartak KostromaRodina Moskva
Form31%69%
Att53%47%
Def27%73%
Poisson Distribution49%51%
H2h100%0%
Goals71%29%
Total46.2%53.8%

Advice: Double chance : Spartak Kostroma or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.84 @ 1xBet
Draw3.11 @ 1xBet
Away2.83 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.59 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.54 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.12 @ 188Bet
No1.72 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Spartak Kostroma = 1.45 (league 1.25), Rodina Moskva = 1.35 (league 1.04)

Rodina Moskva
0 1 2 3 4 5
Spartak Kostroma 0 6.1% 8.2% 5.5% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
1 8.8% 11.9% 8.0% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3%
2 6.4% 8.6% 5.8% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2%
3 3.1% 4.2% 2.8% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.1% 1.5% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.3% · Draw 25.2% · Away win 34.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1