Sun, Nov 16 2025 • 11:00 • Estadio Cerro del Espino
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.79 (league 1.43) 1.04 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
54.0% 23.2% 21.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.0%
1 - 0
10.6%
2 - 1
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
Real Madrid III
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rayo Majadahonda 0 5.9% 6.1% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
1 10.6% 11.0% 5.7% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.5% 9.8% 5.1% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 5.7% 5.9% 3.0% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 2.5% 2.6% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRayo MajadahondaReal Madrid III
Played55
Form87%53%
Attack69%62%
Defense69%54%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.88 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Rayo Majadahonda Real Madrid III
HATHAT
Played55105510
Wins60%60%60%40%40%40%
Draws40%0%20%40%0%20%
Loses0%40%20%20%60%40%

Form: Rayo Majadahonda: WDLWLDWWWW • Real Madrid III: WWLLLDWDLW

League goals

Metric Rayo Majadahonda Real Madrid III
HATHAT
GF total84127714
GF avg1.60.81.21.41.41.4
GA total4484812
GA avg0.80.80.80.81.61.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRayo MajadahondaReal Madrid III
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%60%80%90%
1.540%20%50%20%
2.510%0%10%10%
3.510%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRayo MajadahondaReal Madrid III
HATHAT
Clean sheets224101
Failed to score224112

Penalties

MetricRayo MajadahondaReal Madrid III
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricRayo MajadahondaReal Madrid III
Wins12
Draws11
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-21-23-11-2
Biggest losses—2-00-13-2
Goals For4232
Goals Against2213

Model comparison

MetricRayo MajadahondaReal Madrid III
Form62%38%
Att53%47%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution59%41%
H2h100%0%
Goals75%25%
Total61.8%38.2%

Advice: Double chance : Rayo Majadahonda or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.08 @ Unibet
Draw3.10 @ Bet365
Away4.34 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.62 @ Superbet
Under 2.51.50 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.31 @ 188Bet
No1.65 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Rayo Majadahonda = 1.79 (league 1.43), Real Madrid III = 1.04 (league 1.08)

Real Madrid III
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rayo Majadahonda 0 5.9% 6.1% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
1 10.6% 11.0% 5.7% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.5% 9.8% 5.1% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 5.7% 5.9% 3.0% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 2.5% 2.6% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 54.0% · Draw 23.2% · Away win 21.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1