FA WSL — England
Sun, Nov 16 2025 • 12:00 • Villa Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.08 (league 1.75) 1.37 (league 1.46)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
51.8% 21.1% 24.8%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.4%
1 - 1
9.0%
2 - 0
6.8%
Score & goals probability table
London City Lionesses
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aston Villa W 0 3.2% 4.3% 3.0% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
1 6.6% 9.0% 6.2% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3%
2 6.8% 9.4% 6.5% 3.0% 1.0% 0.3%
3 4.7% 6.5% 4.5% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
4 2.5% 3.4% 2.3% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
5 1.0% 1.4% 1.0% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAston Villa WLondon City Lionesses
Played55
Form60%60%
Attack44%44%
Defense75%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.88 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

92%
FT probability

2.5+

65%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Aston Villa W London City Lionesses
HATHAT
Played347448
Wins0%50%29%75%25%50%
Draws67%50%57%0%0%0%
Loses33%0%14%25%75%50%

Form: Aston Villa W: DLDWDDW • London City Lionesses: LLWLWWLW

League goals

Metric Aston Villa W London City Lionesses
HATHAT
GF total4487411
GF avg1.31.01.11.81.01.4
GA total61771118
GA avg2.00.31.01.82.82.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAston Villa WLondon City Lionesses
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%43%88%75%
1.529%29%25%63%
2.514%29%13%38%
3.50%0%13%38%
4.50%0%0%13%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAston Villa WLondon City Lionesses
HATHAT
Clean sheets134202
Failed to score112011

Penalties

MetricAston Villa WLondon City Lionesses
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricAston Villa WLondon City Lionesses
Wins12
Draws20
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-24-21-2
Biggest losses1-3—1-54-1
Goals For3242
Goals Against3154

Model comparison

MetricAston Villa WLondon City Lionesses
Form50%50%
Att50%50%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution66%34%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total58.3%41.8%

Advice: Double chance : Aston Villa W or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.03 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.60 @ Bet365
Away3.50 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.71 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.21 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.62 @ Unibet
No2.44 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Aston Villa W = 2.08 (league 1.75), London City Lionesses = 1.37 (league 1.46)

London City Lionesses
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aston Villa W 0 3.2% 4.3% 3.0% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
1 6.6% 9.0% 6.2% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3%
2 6.8% 9.4% 6.5% 3.0% 1.0% 0.3%
3 4.7% 6.5% 4.5% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
4 2.5% 3.4% 2.3% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
5 1.0% 1.4% 1.0% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 51.8% · Draw 21.1% · Away win 24.8%

Vtot 7 , Vtod1