Sun, Nov 16 2025 • 13:30 • Esp Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.16 (league 1.78) 1.95 (league 1.56)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
41.6% 20.3% 34.4%
best score tips
2 - 1
7.5%
2 - 2
7.3%
1 - 1
6.9%
Score & goals probability table
Freienbach
0 1 2 3 4 5
Baden 0 1.7% 3.2% 3.1% 2.0% 1.0% 0.4%
1 3.6% 6.9% 6.8% 4.4% 2.1% 0.8%
2 3.8% 7.5% 7.3% 4.7% 2.3% 0.9%
3 2.8% 5.4% 5.2% 3.4% 1.7% 0.6%
4 1.5% 2.9% 2.8% 1.8% 0.9% 0.3%
5 0.6% 1.2% 1.2% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBadenFreienbach
Played55
Form60%33%
Attack86%71%
Defense57%7%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.410 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.213 | 2.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

74%
FT probability

3.5+

53%
FT probability

BTTS

82%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Baden Freienbach
HATHAT
Played76136713
Wins43%67%54%50%43%46%
Draws14%0%8%33%29%31%
Loses43%33%38%17%29%23%

Form: Baden: WWLWLLDWWWLWL • Freienbach: DWWWWLDWDLLDW

League goals

Metric Baden Freienbach
HATHAT
GF total171330121325
GF avg2.42.22.32.01.91.9
GA total1181991120
GA avg1.61.31.51.51.61.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBadenFreienbach
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.585%92%92%77%
1.562%38%69%46%
2.538%8%31%23%
3.531%8%0%8%
4.58%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBadenFreienbach
HATHAT
Clean sheets011033
Failed to score112011

Penalties

MetricBadenFreienbach
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricBadenFreienbach
Wins34
Draws11
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-21-43-10-3
Biggest losses1-24-11-24-1
Goals For6433
Goals Against2434

Model comparison

MetricBadenFreienbach
Form64%36%
Att55%45%
Def68%32%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h50%50%
Goals67%33%
Total59.8%40.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Baden or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.57 @ William Hill
Draw4.40 @ Unibet
Away4.67 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.56 @ Superbet
No2.36 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.53 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.50 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Baden = 2.16 (league 1.78), Freienbach = 1.95 (league 1.56)

Freienbach
0 1 2 3 4 5
Baden 0 1.7% 3.2% 3.1% 2.0% 1.0% 0.4%
1 3.6% 6.9% 6.8% 4.4% 2.1% 0.8%
2 3.8% 7.5% 7.3% 4.7% 2.3% 0.9%
3 2.8% 5.4% 5.2% 3.4% 1.7% 0.6%
4 1.5% 2.9% 2.8% 1.8% 0.9% 0.3%
5 0.6% 1.2% 1.2% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.6% · Draw 20.3% · Away win 34.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1