Sun, Nov 16 2025 • 13:30 • Sportpark Marsana
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.88 (league 1.78) 3.49 (league 1.55)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
5.5% 9.3% 71.0%
best score tips
0 - 3
9.0%
1 - 3
7.9%
0 - 4
7.9%
Score & goals probability table
Gemert
0 1 2 3 4 5
Meerssen 0 1.3% 4.4% 7.7% 9.0% 7.9% 5.5%
1 1.1% 3.9% 6.8% 7.9% 6.9% 4.8%
2 0.5% 1.7% 3.0% 3.5% 3.0% 2.1%
3 0.1% 0.5% 0.9% 1.0% 0.9% 0.6%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMeerssenGemert
Played55
Form0%87%
Attack17%42%
Defense50%92%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.810 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.42 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

71%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

83%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Meerssen Gemert
HATHAT
Played66126612
Wins0%17%8%50%50%50%
Draws17%0%8%33%33%33%
Loses83%83%83%17%17%17%

Form: Meerssen: LLWDLLLLLLLL • Gemert: LLDDWDWWDWWW

League goals

Metric Meerssen Gemert
HATHAT
GF total7916101222
GF avg1.21.51.31.72.01.8
GA total1616325813
GA avg2.72.72.70.81.31.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMeerssenGemert
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%100%92%75%
1.542%83%58%25%
2.517%50%25%8%
3.50%25%8%0%
4.50%8%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMeerssenGemert
HATHAT
Clean sheets000213
Failed to score213101

Penalties

MetricMeerssenGemert
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricMeerssenGemert
Wins12
Draws12
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—2-34-11-3
Biggest losses1-54-20-12-1
Goals For3343
Goals Against5423

Model comparison

MetricMeerssenGemert
Form0%100%
Att29%71%
Def14%86%
Poisson Distribution20%80%
H2h38%62%
Goals45%55%
Total29.2%70.8%

Advice: Winner : Gemert

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.32 @ 1xBet
Draw3.80 @ Bet365
Away1.72 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.67 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.16 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.62 @ Superbet
No2.19 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Meerssen = 0.88 (league 1.78), Gemert = 3.49 (league 1.55)

Gemert
0 1 2 3 4 5
Meerssen 0 1.3% 4.4% 7.7% 9.0% 7.9% 5.5%
1 1.1% 3.9% 6.8% 7.9% 6.9% 4.8%
2 0.5% 1.7% 3.0% 3.5% 3.0% 2.1%
3 0.1% 0.5% 0.9% 1.0% 0.9% 0.6%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 5.5% · Draw 9.3% · Away win 71.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1