Sun, Nov 16 2025 • 13:30 •
Stadio Tre Stelle
Expected Goals
2.40 (league 1.17)
1.73 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 49.3% | 19.4% | 26.9% |
best score tips
2 - 1
8.0%
2 - 2
6.9%
1 - 1
6.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Coriano | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Desenzano Calvina | 0 | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 3.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 4.6% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% | |
| 3 | 3.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | |
| 4 | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Desenzano Calvina | Coriano |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 73% | 27% |
| Attack | 100% | 33% |
| Defense | 56% | 33% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
76%
FT probability
2.5+
54%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
75%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Desenzano Calvina | Coriano | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 6 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| Wins | 20% | 67% | 45% | 0% | 40% | 18% |
| Draws | 60% | 17% | 36% | 17% | 40% | 27% |
| Loses | 20% | 17% | 18% | 83% | 20% | 55% |
Form: Desenzano Calvina: LDWDWLWWWDD • Coriano: DLDLWLWDLLL
League goals
| Metric | Desenzano Calvina | Coriano | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 10 | 8 | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 7 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 14 |
| GA avg | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Desenzano Calvina | Coriano | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 73% | 64% | 55% | 91% |
| 1.5 | 55% | 18% | 27% | 36% |
| 2.5 | 18% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 9% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 9% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Desenzano Calvina | Coriano | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Desenzano Calvina | Coriano |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Desenzano Calvina | Coriano |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 0-3 | — | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 1-0 | 1-2 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Desenzano Calvina | Coriano |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 73% | 27% |
| Att | 79% | 21% |
| Def | 60% | 40% |
| Poisson Distribution | 57% | 43% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 67.3% | 32.8% |
Advice: Double chance : Desenzano Calvina or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Desenzano Calvina = 2.40 (league 1.17), Coriano = 1.73 (league 1.13)
| Coriano | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Desenzano Calvina | 0 | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 3.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 4.6% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% | |
| 3 | 3.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | |
| 4 | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.3% · Draw 19.4% · Away win 26.9%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1