Sun, Nov 16 2025 • 13:30 • Stadio Comunale Vittorio Papa
Match Finished
Expected Goals
5.46 (league 1.43) 2.64 (league 0.97)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
34.1% 8.2% 8.5%
best score tips
5 - 2
4.3%
4 - 2
3.9%
5 - 3
3.8%
Score & goals probability table
Sarnese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nola 1925 0 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
1 0.2% 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2%
2 0.5% 1.2% 1.6% 1.4% 0.9% 0.5%
3 0.8% 2.2% 2.9% 2.5% 1.7% 0.9%
4 1.1% 3.0% 3.9% 3.4% 2.3% 1.2%
5 1.2% 3.2% 4.3% 3.8% 2.5% 1.3%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNola 1925Sarnese
Played55
Form67%13%
Attack100%38%
Defense25%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 23 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.29 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

75%
FT probability

3.5+

53%
FT probability

BTTS

85%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Nola 1925 Sarnese
HATHAT
Played56116511
Wins60%33%45%17%20%18%
Draws20%33%27%50%0%27%
Loses20%33%27%33%80%55%

Form: Nola 1925: WDDLWLLWDWW • Sarnese: DWWLLLDLDLL

League goals

Metric Nola 1925 Sarnese
HATHAT
GF total136194812
GF avg2.61.01.70.71.61.1
GA total881651520
GA avg1.61.31.50.83.01.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNola 1925Sarnese
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.591%73%73%82%
1.545%45%27%55%
2.527%27%9%18%
3.59%0%0%18%
4.50%0%0%9%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNola 1925Sarnese
HATHAT
Clean sheets123202
Failed to score011303

Penalties

MetricNola 1925Sarnese
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total30

Streaks

MetricNola 1925Sarnese
Wins12
Draws21
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-22-12-3
Biggest losses1-33-01-25-1
Goals For4223
Goals Against3325

Model comparison

MetricNola 1925Sarnese
Form83%17%
Att77%23%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution67%33%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total71.8%28.3%

Advice: Combo Winner : Nola 1925 and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.19 @ 1xBet
Draw3.28 @ Marathonbet
Away3.00 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.77 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.51.92 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.61 @ Marathonbet
No2.13 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Nola 1925 = 5.46 (league 1.43), Sarnese = 2.64 (league 0.97)

Sarnese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nola 1925 0 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
1 0.2% 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2%
2 0.5% 1.2% 1.6% 1.4% 0.9% 0.5%
3 0.8% 2.2% 2.9% 2.5% 1.7% 0.9%
4 1.1% 3.0% 3.9% 3.4% 2.3% 1.2%
5 1.2% 3.2% 4.3% 3.8% 2.5% 1.3%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 34.1% · Draw 8.2% · Away win 8.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1