Sun, Nov 16 2025 • 20:00 • Estadio Miguel Grau
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.99 (league 1.45) 1.14 (league 0.95)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
31.4% 29.6% 38.8%
best score tips
0 - 1
13.5%
1 - 1
13.4%
0 - 0
11.9%
Score & goals probability table
Alianza Atletico
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sport Boys 0 11.9% 13.5% 7.7% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2%
1 11.8% 13.4% 7.6% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2%
2 5.9% 6.7% 3.8% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
3 1.9% 2.2% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSport BoysAlianza Atletico
Played55
Form47%47%
Attack55%36%
Defense18%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sport Boys Alianza Atletico
HATHAT
Played171734181735
Wins41%12%26%67%24%46%
Draws24%29%26%11%24%17%
Loses35%59%47%22%53%37%

Form: Sport Boys: WLWDLLDWDDWLLLWDLLLLDWLLLLDDWWLWDL • Alianza Atletico: LWLWDLLWWWWWWWLWLWDDDLWLLDWLLWWLLDW

League goals

Metric Sport Boys Alianza Atletico
HATHAT
GF total211940271542
GF avg1.21.11.21.50.91.2
GA total203252122032
GA avg1.21.91.50.71.20.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSport BoysAlianza Atletico
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.565%85%63%60%
1.532%50%37%23%
2.515%15%14%6%
3.56%3%6%3%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSport BoysAlianza Atletico
HATHAT
Clean sheets32510414
Failed to score57125813

Penalties

MetricSport BoysAlianza Atletico
Scored (total | %)9 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total93

Streaks

MetricSport BoysAlianza Atletico
Wins27
Draws23
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-20-44-12-4
Biggest losses0-24-02-42-0
Goals For4444
Goals Against2443

Model comparison

MetricSport BoysAlianza Atletico
Form50%50%
Att60%40%
Def31%69%
Poisson Distribution48%52%
H2h29%71%
Goals29%71%
Total41.2%58.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Alianza Atletico

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.21 @ 188Bet
Draw3.30 @ Superbet
Away4.50 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.35 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.63 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.01 @ 188Bet
No1.75 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sport Boys = 0.99 (league 1.45), Alianza Atletico = 1.14 (league 0.95)

Alianza Atletico
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sport Boys 0 11.9% 13.5% 7.7% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2%
1 11.8% 13.4% 7.6% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2%
2 5.9% 6.7% 3.8% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
3 1.9% 2.2% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 31.4% · Draw 29.6% · Away win 38.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1