Sat, Nov 15 2025 • 01:00 •
Estadio Ignacio López Rayón
Expected Goals
0.42 (league 1.51)
0.68 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 19.9% | 43.4% | 36.7% |
best score tips
0 - 0
33.2%
0 - 1
22.6%
1 - 0
14.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Lobos ULMX | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Zitacuaro | 0 | 33.2% | 22.6% | 7.7% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 14.0% | 9.5% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Zitacuaro | Lobos ULMX |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 67% |
| Attack | 22% | 43% |
| Defense | 70% | 87% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
58%
FT probability
2.5+
41%
FT probability
3.5+
29%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Zitacuaro | Lobos ULMX | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 6 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| Wins | 20% | 17% | 18% | 67% | 20% | 45% |
| Draws | 60% | 0% | 27% | 0% | 60% | 27% |
| Loses | 20% | 83% | 55% | 33% | 20% | 27% |
Form: Zitacuaro: DWLDLLLWLDL • Lobos ULMX: LWDLDWDWLWW
League goals
| Metric | Zitacuaro | Lobos ULMX | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 4 | 16 |
| GF avg | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 5 | 13 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 2.2 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Zitacuaro | Lobos ULMX | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 64% | 91% | 73% | 73% |
| 1.5 | 18% | 36% | 27% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 9% | 18% | 9% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 9% | 9% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 9% | 9% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Zitacuaro | Lobos ULMX | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Zitacuaro | Lobos ULMX |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Zitacuaro | Lobos ULMX |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | 1-3 | 7-1 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 5-0 | 0-1 | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 1 | 3 | 7 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Zitacuaro | Lobos ULMX |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 29% | 71% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 30% | 70% |
| Poisson Distribution | 39% | 61% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 32.8% | 67.3% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Lobos ULMX
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Zitacuaro = 0.42 (league 1.51), Lobos ULMX = 0.68 (league 1.18)
| Lobos ULMX | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Zitacuaro | 0 | 33.2% | 22.6% | 7.7% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 14.0% | 9.5% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 19.9% · Draw 43.4% · Away win 36.7%
vtt 4 , vtd1