FA WSL — England
Sat, Nov 15 2025 • 13:30 • Academy Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.43 (league 1.75) 2.40 (league 1.46)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
21.5% 19.0% 55.5%
best score tips
1 - 2
8.9%
1 - 1
7.4%
1 - 3
7.2%
Score & goals probability table
Manchester United W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Manchester City W 0 2.2% 5.2% 6.3% 5.0% 3.0% 1.5%
1 3.1% 7.4% 8.9% 7.2% 4.3% 2.1%
2 2.2% 5.3% 6.4% 5.1% 3.1% 1.5%
3 1.1% 2.5% 3.0% 2.4% 1.5% 0.7%
4 0.4% 0.9% 1.1% 0.9% 0.5% 0.3%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricManchester City WManchester United W
Played55
Form100%67%
Attack86%71%
Defense64%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.410 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

6.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

74%
FT probability

3.5+

53%
FT probability

BTTS

82%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 1 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Manchester City W Manchester United W
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins100%75%88%25%100%63%
Draws0%0%0%50%0%25%
Loses0%25%13%25%0%13%

Form: Manchester City W: LWWWWWWW • Manchester United W: WWDWDWWL

League goals

Metric Manchester City W Manchester United W
HATHAT
GF total10102051419
GF avg2.52.52.51.33.52.4
GA total459246
GA avg1.01.31.10.51.00.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineManchester City WManchester United W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%88%75%63%
1.575%25%63%13%
2.538%0%50%0%
3.525%0%38%0%
4.513%0%13%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricManchester City WManchester United W
HATHAT
Clean sheets101213
Failed to score000202

Penalties

MetricManchester City WManchester United W
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricManchester City WManchester United W
Wins02
Draws01
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-54-01-5
Biggest losses—2-10-1—
Goals For4545
Goals Against2212

Model comparison

MetricManchester City WManchester United W
Form60%40%
Att55%45%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution45%55%
H2h50%50%
Goals47%53%
Total51.2%48.8%

Advice: Double chance : Manchester City W or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.85 @ William Hill
Draw3.90 @ Betfair
Away4.00 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.57 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.54 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.53 @ Bet365
No2.57 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Manchester City W = 1.43 (league 1.75), Manchester United W = 2.40 (league 1.46)

Manchester United W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Manchester City W 0 2.2% 5.2% 6.3% 5.0% 3.0% 1.5%
1 3.1% 7.4% 8.9% 7.2% 4.3% 2.1%
2 2.2% 5.3% 6.4% 5.1% 3.1% 1.5%
3 1.1% 2.5% 3.0% 2.4% 1.5% 0.7%
4 0.4% 0.9% 1.1% 0.9% 0.5% 0.3%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 21.5% · Draw 19.0% · Away win 55.5%

Vtot 6 , Vtod1