Sat, Nov 15 2025 • 13:30 • Stadio Ezio Scida
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.45 (league 1.54) 0.57 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
23.1% 45.7% 31.2%
best score tips
0 - 0
35.8%
0 - 1
20.6%
1 - 0
16.2%
Score & goals probability table
Sorrento
0 1 2 3 4 5
Crotone 0 35.8% 20.6% 5.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
1 16.2% 9.3% 2.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 3.7% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCrotoneSorrento
Played55
Form27%40%
Attack40%70%
Defense60%30%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

56%
FT probability

2.5+

39%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

56%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Crotone Sorrento
HATHAT
Played76137613
Wins29%50%38%0%33%15%
Draws14%33%23%71%33%54%
Loses57%17%38%29%33%31%

Form: Crotone: LWDDWWLWWLLLD • Sorrento: DLLLDDWDWDDDL

League goals

Metric Crotone Sorrento
HATHAT
GF total712199413
GF avg1.02.01.51.30.71.0
GA total651111415
GA avg0.90.80.81.60.71.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCrotoneSorrento
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.562%54%69%62%
1.546%23%23%46%
2.531%8%8%8%
3.58%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCrotoneSorrento
HATHAT
Clean sheets336235
Failed to score325224

Penalties

MetricCrotoneSorrento
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricCrotoneSorrento
Wins21
Draws23
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-4—0-1
Biggest losses1-21-01-22-1
Goals For3431
Goals Against2332

Model comparison

MetricCrotoneSorrento
Form40%60%
Att36%64%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution46%54%
H2h36%64%
Goals44%56%
Total44.3%55.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Sorrento and -3.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.44 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.29 @ Pinnacle
Away7.50 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.98 @ SBO
Under 2.51.95 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.29 @ 188Bet
No1.72 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Crotone = 0.45 (league 1.54), Sorrento = 0.57 (league 1.10)

Sorrento
0 1 2 3 4 5
Crotone 0 35.8% 20.6% 5.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
1 16.2% 9.3% 2.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 3.7% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 23.1% · Draw 45.7% · Away win 31.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1