Sat, Nov 15 2025 • 14:00 •
Borås Arena
Expected Goals
0.70 (league 1.71)
1.67 (league 1.51)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 15.3% | 23.9% | 60.1% |
best score tips
0 - 1
15.6%
0 - 2
13.0%
1 - 1
10.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Umeå | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Elfsborg | 0 | 9.3% | 15.6% | 13.0% | 7.3% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| 1 | 6.5% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Elfsborg | Umeå |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 53% |
| Attack | 38% | 81% |
| Defense | 69% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 13 | 2.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
83%
FT probability
2.5+
58%
FT probability
3.5+
41%
FT probability
BTTS
74%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1 - 1 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Elfsborg | Umeå | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 13 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 25 |
| Wins | 42% | 38% | 40% | 62% | 50% | 56% |
| Draws | 25% | 0% | 12% | 31% | 42% | 36% |
| Loses | 33% | 62% | 48% | 8% | 8% | 8% |
Form: Elfsborg: LDWLWLWWLWLLLWLDLWWLDLLWW • Umeå: WDDWWWWWWWWWWWDDDDDLWDDLW
League goals
| Metric | Elfsborg | Umeå | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 18 | 22 | 40 | 28 | 25 | 53 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 2.2 | 2.1 | 2.1 |
| GA total | 14 | 20 | 34 | 13 | 9 | 22 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Elfsborg | Umeå | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 80% | 88% | 88% | 56% |
| 1.5 | 48% | 40% | 60% | 28% |
| 2.5 | 16% | 8% | 32% | 4% |
| 3.5 | 8% | 0% | 16% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 4% | 0% | 8% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Elfsborg | Umeå | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Elfsborg | Umeå |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Elfsborg | Umeå |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 11 |
| Draws | 1 | 5 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-6 | 4-0 | 1-7 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 3-1 | 1-2 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 6 | 4 | 7 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Elfsborg | Umeå |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 47% | 53% |
| Att | 32% | 68% |
| Def | 62% | 38% |
| Poisson Distribution | 29% | 71% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 40.6% | 59.4% |
Advice: Winner : Umeå
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Elfsborg = 0.70 (league 1.71), Umeå = 1.67 (league 1.51)
| Umeå | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Elfsborg | 0 | 9.3% | 15.6% | 13.0% | 7.3% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| 1 | 6.5% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 15.3% · Draw 23.9% · Away win 60.1%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1