League Two — England
Sat, Nov 15 2025 • 15:00 • The Croud Meadow
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.70 (league 1.40) 1.11 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
22.9% 31.7% 45.2%
best score tips
0 - 1
18.2%
0 - 0
16.4%
1 - 1
12.7%
Score & goals probability table
Newport County
0 1 2 3 4 5
Shrewsbury 0 16.4% 18.2% 10.1% 3.8% 1.0% 0.2%
1 11.4% 12.7% 7.1% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2%
2 4.0% 4.4% 2.5% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
3 0.9% 1.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricShrewsburyNewport County
Played55
Form53%40%
Attack46%46%
Defense62%46%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Shrewsbury Newport County
HATHAT
Played78158715
Wins29%13%20%0%43%20%
Draws29%25%27%13%14%13%
Loses43%63%53%88%43%67%

Form: Shrewsbury: DLLLLDWLLLDWWDL • Newport County: DWLLLLLDLLLWLWL

League goals

Metric Shrewsbury Newport County
HATHAT
GF total58137916
GF avg0.71.00.90.91.31.1
GA total71825171027
GA avg1.02.31.72.11.41.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineShrewsburyNewport County
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%67%73%87%
1.520%60%27%53%
2.57%27%7%27%
3.50%13%0%13%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricShrewsburyNewport County
HATHAT
Clean sheets415022
Failed to score336314

Penalties

MetricShrewsburyNewport County
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricShrewsburyNewport County
Wins21
Draws11
Losses45

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-3—0-3
Biggest losses1-34-02-44-1
Goals For2323
Goals Against3444

Model comparison

MetricShrewsburyNewport County
Form57%43%
Att50%50%
Def58%42%
Poisson Distribution40%60%
H2h88%13%
Goals100%0%
Total58.6%41.6%

Advice: Double chance : Shrewsbury or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.95 @ Betfair
Draw3.45 @ Unibet
Away4.33 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.16 @ SBO
Under 2.51.78 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.94 @ 188Bet
No1.90 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Shrewsbury = 0.70 (league 1.40), Newport County = 1.11 (league 1.17)

Newport County
0 1 2 3 4 5
Shrewsbury 0 16.4% 18.2% 10.1% 3.8% 1.0% 0.2%
1 11.4% 12.7% 7.1% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2%
2 4.0% 4.4% 2.5% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
3 0.9% 1.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 22.9% · Draw 31.7% · Away win 45.2%

Vtot 9 , Vtod1