Sat, Nov 15 2025 • 15:03 • The Maurice Rebak Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.72 (league 1.67) 0.60 (league 1.50)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
33.8% 39.6% 26.6%
best score tips
0 - 0
26.7%
1 - 0
19.2%
0 - 1
16.0%
Score & goals probability table
Lewes
0 1 2 3 4 5
Wingate & Finchley 0 26.7% 16.0% 4.8% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.2% 11.5% 3.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 6.9% 4.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.7% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricWingate & FinchleyLewes
Played55
Form87%47%
Attack82%53%
Defense76%24%
Goals For (tot | avg)14 | 2.89 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.813 | 2.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Wingate & Finchley Lewes
HATHAT
Played410149716
Wins25%50%43%44%29%38%
Draws0%30%21%22%14%19%
Loses75%20%36%33%57%44%

Form: Wingate & Finchley: LLLLDLWDWWWDWW • Lewes: LWWWWDLDLLLLWDWL

League goals

Metric Wingate & Finchley Lewes
HATHAT
GF total2222417421
GF avg0.52.21.71.90.61.3
GA total61319141731
GA avg1.51.31.41.62.41.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineWingate & FinchleyLewes
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.579%79%63%88%
1.550%36%50%56%
2.529%21%13%31%
3.57%0%6%6%
4.57%0%0%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricWingate & FinchleyLewes
HATHAT
Clean sheets033112
Failed to score303246

Penalties

MetricWingate & FinchleyLewes
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricWingate & FinchleyLewes
Wins34
Draws11
Losses44

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-53-01-2
Biggest losses0-33-20-26-0
Goals For2542
Goals Against3336

Model comparison

MetricWingate & FinchleyLewes
Form65%35%
Att61%39%
Def76%24%
Poisson Distribution56%44%
H2h62%38%
Goals47%53%
Total61.2%38.8%

Advice: Double chance : Wingate & Finchley or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.70 @ Unibet
Draw4.02 @ Pinnacle
Away4.40 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.67 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.25 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ William Hill
No2.20 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Wingate & Finchley = 0.72 (league 1.67), Lewes = 0.60 (league 1.50)

Lewes
0 1 2 3 4 5
Wingate & Finchley 0 26.7% 16.0% 4.8% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.2% 11.5% 3.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 6.9% 4.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.7% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.8% · Draw 39.6% · Away win 26.6%

Vtot 5 , Vtod1