League Two — England
Sat, Nov 15 2025 • 17:30 • Priestfield Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.88 (league 1.38) 0.36 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
73.2% 19.2% 6.3%
best score tips
1 - 0
20.0%
2 - 0
18.7%
3 - 0
11.7%
Score & goals probability table
Crawley Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gillingham 0 10.6% 3.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 20.0% 7.3% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.7% 6.8% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 11.7% 4.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.5% 2.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.1% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGillinghamCrawley Town
Played55
Form27%47%
Attack38%62%
Defense46%54%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

67%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Gillingham Crawley Town
HATHAT
Played78158715
Wins57%38%47%38%14%27%
Draws14%38%27%25%14%20%
Loses29%25%27%38%71%53%

Form: Gillingham: DWDWWWDWWLLDLLW • Crawley Town: LLLDLDWWLLLDLWW

League goals

Metric Gillingham Crawley Town
HATHAT
GF total9112012416
GF avg1.31.41.31.50.61.1
GA total591491423
GA avg0.71.10.91.12.01.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGillinghamCrawley Town
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.587%67%67%80%
1.527%20%27%47%
2.513%7%7%20%
3.57%0%7%7%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGillinghamCrawley Town
HATHAT
Clean sheets325213
Failed to score112145

Penalties

MetricGillinghamCrawley Town
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total42

Streaks

MetricGillinghamCrawley Town
Wins32
Draws11
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-34-00-1
Biggest losses1-23-20-24-0
Goals For4342
Goals Against2324

Model comparison

MetricGillinghamCrawley Town
Form36%64%
Att38%62%
Def46%54%
Poisson Distribution84%16%
H2h62%38%
Goals50%50%
Total52.7%47.3%

Advice: Double chance : Gillingham or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.03 @ SBO
Draw3.62 @ Pinnacle
Away3.80 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.88 @ SBO
Under 2.51.98 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.77 @ 188Bet
No2.14 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Gillingham = 1.88 (league 1.38), Crawley Town = 0.36 (league 1.16)

Crawley Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gillingham 0 10.6% 3.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 20.0% 7.3% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.7% 6.8% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 11.7% 4.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.5% 2.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.1% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 73.2% · Draw 19.2% · Away win 6.3%

Vtot 10 , Vtod1