Sun, Nov 16 2025 • 20:00 • Francisco Boga Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.60 (league 1.12) 0.46 (league 0.87)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
65.1% 24.0% 10.3%
best score tips
1 - 0
20.3%
2 - 0
16.3%
0 - 0
12.7%
Score & goals probability table
Deportivo Merlo
0 1 2 3 4 5
San Martín Burzaco 0 12.7% 5.9% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 20.3% 9.4% 2.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.3% 7.5% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 8.7% 4.0% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.5% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSan Martín BurzacoDeportivo Merlo
Played55
Form47%20%
Attack90%30%
Defense30%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.83 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

58%
FT probability

2.5+

41%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric San Martín Burzaco Deportivo Merlo
HATHAT
Played192039201939
Wins53%15%33%25%21%23%
Draws37%30%33%35%42%38%
Loses11%55%33%40%37%38%

Form: San Martín Burzaco: DDWLDWWDWLLWLLDLDLWLDDDDLWDWLWDWLWLWLDW • Deportivo Merlo: LLWDDDWWWLLWDLDWDDLWLWLDLDDLDLWLDLLDDDL

League goals

Metric San Martín Burzaco Deportivo Merlo
HATHAT
GF total281745151530
GF avg1.50.91.20.80.80.8
GA total103444182240
GA avg0.51.71.10.91.21.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSan Martín BurzacoDeportivo Merlo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.572%67%54%69%
1.526%28%18%26%
2.510%8%5%8%
3.55%8%0%0%
4.53%3%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSan Martín BurzacoDeportivo Merlo
HATHAT
Clean sheets112137512
Failed to score471110818

Penalties

MetricSan Martín BurzacoDeportivo Merlo
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricSan Martín BurzacoDeportivo Merlo
Wins23
Draws43
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-01-23-10-2
Biggest losses1-25-00-23-0
Goals For5232
Goals Against2523

Model comparison

MetricSan Martín BurzacoDeportivo Merlo
Form70%30%
Att75%25%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution75%25%
H2h15%85%
Goals20%80%
Total49.5%50.5%

Advice: Double chance : San Martín Burzaco or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.95 @ Unibet
Draw3.15 @ Superbet
Away2.72 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.10 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.40 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.40 @ Superbet
No1.62 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): San Martín Burzaco = 1.60 (league 1.12), Deportivo Merlo = 0.46 (league 0.87)

Deportivo Merlo
0 1 2 3 4 5
San Martín Burzaco 0 12.7% 5.9% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 20.3% 9.4% 2.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.3% 7.5% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 8.7% 4.0% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.5% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 65.1% · Draw 24.0% · Away win 10.3%

Vtot 2 , Vtod2