Fri, Nov 21 2025 • 19:30 • Stadio Domenico Monterisi
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.67 (league 1.55) 3.11 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
5.0% 10.2% 75.3%
best score tips
0 - 3
11.4%
0 - 2
11.0%
0 - 4
8.9%
Score & goals probability table
Crotone
0 1 2 3 4 5
Audace Cerignola 0 2.3% 7.1% 11.0% 11.4% 8.9% 5.5%
1 1.5% 4.8% 7.4% 7.7% 6.0% 3.7%
2 0.5% 1.6% 2.5% 2.6% 2.0% 1.2%
3 0.1% 0.4% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.3%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAudace CerignolaCrotone
Played55
Form40%27%
Attack64%36%
Defense9%55%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Audace Cerignola Crotone
HATHAT
Played77148614
Wins14%43%29%38%50%43%
Draws43%14%29%13%33%21%
Loses43%43%43%50%17%36%

Form: Audace Cerignola: DDWLDWDLLLLLWW • Crotone: LWDDWWLWWLLLDW

League goals

Metric Audace Cerignola Crotone
HATHAT
GF total9716101222
GF avg1.31.01.11.32.01.6
GA total1210227512
GA avg1.71.41.60.90.80.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAudace CerignolaCrotone
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.564%71%64%57%
1.536%57%50%21%
2.514%21%36%7%
3.50%7%7%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAudace CerignolaCrotone
HATHAT
Clean sheets224336
Failed to score235325

Penalties

MetricAudace CerignolaCrotone
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricAudace CerignolaCrotone
Wins12
Draws22
Losses53

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-12-33-00-4
Biggest losses2-43-01-21-0
Goals For3334
Goals Against4323

Model comparison

MetricAudace CerignolaCrotone
Form60%40%
Att64%36%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution19%81%
H2h62%38%
Goals57%43%
Total49.2%50.8%

Advice: Double chance : Audace Cerignola or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.64 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.09 @ Pinnacle
Away2.70 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.82 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.97 @ 188Bet
No1.96 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Audace Cerignola = 0.67 (league 1.55), Crotone = 3.11 (league 1.09)

Crotone
0 1 2 3 4 5
Audace Cerignola 0 2.3% 7.1% 11.0% 11.4% 8.9% 5.5%
1 1.5% 4.8% 7.4% 7.7% 6.0% 3.7%
2 0.5% 1.6% 2.5% 2.6% 2.0% 1.2%
3 0.1% 0.4% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.3%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 5.0% · Draw 10.2% · Away win 75.3%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1