Ligue 1 — France
Fri, Nov 21 2025 • 19:45 • Allianz Riviera
Match Finished
1 - 5
Expected Goals
0.79 (league 1.71) 0.74 (league 1.29)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
33.4% 36.2% 30.4%
best score tips
0 - 0
21.5%
1 - 0
17.1%
0 - 1
16.0%
Score & goals probability table
Marseille
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nice 0 21.5% 16.0% 5.9% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0%
1 17.1% 12.7% 4.7% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 6.8% 5.0% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.8% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNiceMarseille
Played55
Form60%67%
Attack57%93%
Defense57%57%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.613 | 2.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Nice Marseille
HATHAT
Played66126612
Wins67%17%42%83%50%67%
Draws17%17%17%17%0%8%
Loses17%67%42%0%50%25%

Form: Nice: LWLWLDDWWWLL • Marseille: LWLWWWWWLDWW

League goals

Metric Nice Marseille
HATHAT
GF total1071721728
GF avg1.71.21.43.51.22.3
GA total513186511
GA avg0.82.21.51.00.80.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNiceMarseille
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%83%83%58%
1.542%42%58%33%
2.517%17%42%0%
3.50%8%25%0%
4.50%0%17%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNiceMarseille
HATHAT
Clean sheets202325
Failed to score112022

Penalties

MetricNiceMarseille
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total24

Streaks

MetricNiceMarseille
Wins35
Draws21
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-26-20-3
Biggest losses0-14-1—2-1
Goals For3263
Goals Against2422

Model comparison

MetricNiceMarseille
Form47%53%
Att38%62%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution49%51%
H2h71%29%
Goals62%38%
Total52.8%47.2%

Advice: Double chance : Nice or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.85 @ Betano
Draw3.80 @ 1xBet
Away2.04 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.76 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.24 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.62 @ William Hill
No2.39 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Nice = 0.79 (league 1.71), Marseille = 0.74 (league 1.29)

Marseille
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nice 0 21.5% 16.0% 5.9% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0%
1 17.1% 12.7% 4.7% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 6.8% 5.0% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.8% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.4% · Draw 36.2% · Away win 30.4%

Vtot 59 , Vtod1