Fri, Nov 21 2025 • 20:00 •
Stade Roger Lebert
Expected Goals
0.47 (league 1.93)
0.97 (league 1.35)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 17.4% | 35.9% | 46.7% |
best score tips
0 - 0
23.9%
0 - 1
23.1%
1 - 0
11.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Lens W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Marseille W | 0 | 23.9% | 23.1% | 11.1% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 11.1% | 10.8% | 5.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Marseille W | Lens W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 0% |
| Attack | 33% | 33% |
| Defense | 50% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 21 | 4.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
5.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
67%
FT probability
3.5+
48%
FT probability
BTTS
73%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Marseille W | Lens W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Wins | 0% | 25% | 14% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 33% | 25% | 29% | 25% | 33% | 29% |
| Loses | 67% | 50% | 57% | 75% | 67% | 71% |
Form: Marseille W: LLLWLDD • Lens W: DDLLLLL
League goals
| Metric | Marseille W | Lens W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
| GF avg | 0.3 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 4 | 10 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 24 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 3.8 | 3.0 | 3.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Marseille W | Lens W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 71% | 71% | 86% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 14% | 57% | 29% | 86% |
| 2.5 | 14% | 29% | 14% | 57% |
| 3.5 | 14% | 14% | 0% | 43% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 14% | 0% | 14% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Marseille W | Lens W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Marseille W | Lens W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Marseille W | Lens W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 0-4 | — | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 6-1 | 1-8 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 1 | 4 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 6 | 8 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Marseille W | Lens W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 100% | 0% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 70% | 30% |
| Poisson Distribution | 37% | 63% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 52.3% | 47.7% |
Advice: Double chance : Marseille W or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Marseille W = 0.47 (league 1.93), Lens W = 0.97 (league 1.35)
| Lens W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Marseille W | 0 | 23.9% | 23.1% | 11.1% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 11.1% | 10.8% | 5.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 17.4% · Draw 35.9% · Away win 46.7%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1