Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 13:00 • Dreisamstadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.20 (league 1.83) 3.40 (league 1.56)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
21.1% 15.2% 48.6%
best score tips
2 - 3
5.9%
1 - 3
5.3%
2 - 2
5.2%
Score & goals probability table
SGV Freiberg
0 1 2 3 4 5
Freiburg II 0 0.4% 1.3% 2.1% 2.4% 2.1% 1.4%
1 0.8% 2.8% 4.7% 5.3% 4.5% 3.1%
2 0.9% 3.0% 5.2% 5.9% 5.0% 3.4%
3 0.7% 2.2% 3.8% 4.3% 3.7% 2.5%
4 0.4% 1.2% 2.1% 2.4% 2.0% 1.4%
5 0.2% 0.5% 0.9% 1.0% 0.9% 0.6%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFreiburg IISGV Freiberg
Played55
Form87%20%
Attack100%50%
Defense17%17%
Goals For (tot | avg)14 | 2.83 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

83%
FT probability

3.5+

59%
FT probability

BTTS

88%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Freiburg II SGV Freiberg
HATHAT
Played98179817
Wins56%25%41%56%50%53%
Draws22%38%29%33%25%29%
Loses22%38%29%11%25%18%

Form: Freiburg II: LWDLDDLWWDLLWWWDW • SGV Freiberg: WWWWWWWWWDLDDLDLD

League goals

Metric Freiburg II SGV Freiberg
HATHAT
GF total281038191837
GF avg3.11.32.22.12.32.2
GA total21173861016
GA avg2.32.12.20.71.30.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFreiburg IISGV Freiberg
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%94%88%71%
1.571%65%47%24%
2.529%47%47%0%
3.518%18%24%0%
4.512%0%12%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFreiburg IISGV Freiberg
HATHAT
Clean sheets101505
Failed to score022112

Penalties

MetricFreiburg IISGV Freiberg
Scored (total | %)7 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total74

Streaks

MetricFreiburg IISGV Freiberg
Wins39
Draws22
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-01-25-02-5
Biggest losses2-44-01-22-1
Goals For6255
Goals Against4422

Model comparison

MetricFreiburg IISGV Freiberg
Form81%19%
Att82%18%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution38%62%
H2h33%67%
Goals25%75%
Total51.5%48.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or SGV Freiberg

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.88 @ Betfair
Draw3.85 @ 188Bet
Away2.30 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.48 @ 10Bet
Under 2.53.30 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.41 @ Pinnacle
No3.30 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Freiburg II = 2.20 (league 1.83), SGV Freiberg = 3.40 (league 1.56)

SGV Freiberg
0 1 2 3 4 5
Freiburg II 0 0.4% 1.3% 2.1% 2.4% 2.1% 1.4%
1 0.8% 2.8% 4.7% 5.3% 4.5% 3.1%
2 0.9% 3.0% 5.2% 5.9% 5.0% 3.4%
3 0.7% 2.2% 3.8% 4.3% 3.7% 2.5%
4 0.4% 1.2% 2.1% 2.4% 2.0% 1.4%
5 0.2% 0.5% 0.9% 1.0% 0.9% 0.6%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 21.1% · Draw 15.2% · Away win 48.6%

Vtot 5 , Vtod1