Sat, Nov 22 2025 • 13:30 • Stadio Comunale Alfredo Viviani
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.92 (league 1.55) 1.46 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
23.7% 26.5% 49.3%
best score tips
0 - 1
13.5%
1 - 1
12.4%
0 - 2
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
Casertana
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sorrento 0 9.2% 13.5% 9.8% 4.8% 1.8% 0.5%
1 8.5% 12.4% 9.1% 4.4% 1.6% 0.5%
2 3.9% 5.7% 4.2% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
3 1.2% 1.8% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSorrentoCasertana
Played55
Form20%53%
Attack78%78%
Defense0%44%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sorrento Casertana
HATHAT
Played77146713
Wins0%29%14%50%29%38%
Draws71%29%50%33%29%31%
Loses29%43%36%17%43%31%

Form: Sorrento: DLLLDDWDWDDDLL • Casertana: WLWLDDWLWWLDD

League goals

Metric Sorrento Casertana
HATHAT
GF total951410717
GF avg1.30.71.01.71.01.3
GA total117189817
GA avg1.61.01.31.51.11.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSorrentoCasertana
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%64%85%77%
1.521%50%31%46%
2.57%14%15%8%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSorrentoCasertana
HATHAT
Clean sheets235123
Failed to score224112

Penalties

MetricSorrentoCasertana
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricSorrentoCasertana
Wins12
Draws32
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-13-10-2
Biggest losses1-23-10-32-0
Goals For3132
Goals Against3332

Model comparison

MetricSorrentoCasertana
Form27%73%
Att50%50%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution41%59%
H2h15%85%
Goals22%78%
Total31.3%68.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Casertana

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.75 @ Unibet
Draw3.00 @ Betfair
Away2.91 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.30 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.62 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.03 @ 188Bet
No1.92 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sorrento = 0.92 (league 1.55), Casertana = 1.46 (league 1.09)

Casertana
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sorrento 0 9.2% 13.5% 9.8% 4.8% 1.8% 0.5%
1 8.5% 12.4% 9.1% 4.4% 1.6% 0.5%
2 3.9% 5.7% 4.2% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
3 1.2% 1.8% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 23.7% · Draw 26.5% · Away win 49.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1