Bundesliga — Germany
Sat, Nov 22 2025 • 14:30 • Volkswagen Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.89 (league 1.59) 3.36 (league 1.50)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
17.8% 14.7% 53.9%
best score tips
1 - 3
6.3%
2 - 3
5.9%
1 - 2
5.6%
Score & goals probability table
Bayer Leverkusen
0 1 2 3 4 5
VfL Wolfsburg 0 0.5% 1.8% 3.0% 3.3% 2.8% 1.9%
1 1.0% 3.3% 5.6% 6.3% 5.3% 3.5%
2 0.9% 3.1% 5.3% 5.9% 5.0% 3.4%
3 0.6% 2.0% 3.3% 3.7% 3.1% 2.1%
4 0.3% 0.9% 1.6% 1.8% 1.5% 1.0%
5 0.1% 0.4% 0.6% 0.7% 0.6% 0.4%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVfL WolfsburgBayer Leverkusen
Played55
Form20%80%
Attack33%93%
Defense27%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 114 | 2.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

75%
FT probability

3.5+

54%
FT probability

BTTS

81%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric VfL Wolfsburg Bayer Leverkusen
HATHAT
Played55106410
Wins0%40%20%67%50%60%
Draws40%0%20%17%25%20%
Loses60%60%60%17%25%20%

Form: VfL Wolfsburg: WDDLLLLWLL • Bayer Leverkusen: LDWDWWWWLW

League goals

Metric VfL Wolfsburg Bayer Leverkusen
HATHAT
GF total661215924
GF avg1.21.21.22.52.32.4
GA total1171841014
GA avg2.21.41.80.72.51.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVfL WolfsburgBayer Leverkusen
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.570%90%90%70%
1.530%50%70%40%
2.520%40%40%30%
3.50%0%20%0%
4.50%0%10%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVfL WolfsburgBayer Leverkusen
HATHAT
Clean sheets011303
Failed to score213011

Penalties

MetricVfL WolfsburgBayer Leverkusen
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricVfL WolfsburgBayer Leverkusen
Wins14
Draws21
Losses41

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—1-36-03-4
Biggest losses0-33-11-23-0
Goals For3364
Goals Against3323

Model comparison

MetricVfL WolfsburgBayer Leverkusen
Form20%80%
Att26%74%
Def35%65%
Poisson Distribution34%66%
H2h15%85%
Goals33%67%
Total27.2%72.8%

Advice: Combo Winner : Bayer Leverkusen and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.70 @ 1xBet
Draw3.94 @ 1xBet
Away2.03 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.59 @ SBO
Under 2.52.55 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.53 @ William Hill
No2.65 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): VfL Wolfsburg = 1.89 (league 1.59), Bayer Leverkusen = 3.36 (league 1.50)

Bayer Leverkusen
0 1 2 3 4 5
VfL Wolfsburg 0 0.5% 1.8% 3.0% 3.3% 2.8% 1.9%
1 1.0% 3.3% 5.6% 6.3% 5.3% 3.5%
2 0.9% 3.1% 5.3% 5.9% 5.0% 3.4%
3 0.6% 2.0% 3.3% 3.7% 3.1% 2.1%
4 0.3% 0.9% 1.6% 1.8% 1.5% 1.0%
5 0.1% 0.4% 0.6% 0.7% 0.6% 0.4%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 17.8% · Draw 14.7% · Away win 53.9%

Vtot 40 , Vtod1