Sat, Nov 22 2025 • 15:00 • Albert Bartlett Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.68 (league 1.33) 1.57 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
16.0% 25.2% 58.3%
best score tips
0 - 1
16.6%
0 - 2
13.0%
1 - 1
11.3%
Score & goals probability table
Ayr Utd
0 1 2 3 4 5
Airdrie United 0 10.6% 16.6% 13.0% 6.8% 2.7% 0.8%
1 7.2% 11.3% 8.8% 4.6% 1.8% 0.6%
2 2.4% 3.8% 3.0% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
3 0.6% 0.9% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAirdrie UnitedAyr Utd
Played55
Form47%20%
Attack24%24%
Defense62%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Airdrie United Ayr Utd
HATHAT
Played87157815
Wins13%14%13%29%25%27%
Draws50%14%33%43%63%53%
Loses38%71%53%29%13%20%

Form: Airdrie United: DLDLLDLLLDLWLDW • Ayr Utd: DLDDDWWDWWLDLDD

League goals

Metric Airdrie United Ayr Utd
HATHAT
GF total761391019
GF avg0.90.90.91.31.31.3
GA total1212248816
GA avg1.51.71.61.11.01.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAirdrie UnitedAyr Utd
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%73%73%73%
1.520%53%33%27%
2.57%20%13%7%
3.50%13%7%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAirdrie UnitedAyr Utd
HATHAT
Clean sheets224044
Failed to score246224

Penalties

MetricAirdrie UnitedAyr Utd
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricAirdrie UnitedAyr Utd
Wins12
Draws13
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-34-20-2
Biggest losses0-43-00-12-1
Goals For2343
Goals Against4423

Model comparison

MetricAirdrie UnitedAyr Utd
Form70%30%
Att50%50%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution30%70%
H2h0%100%
Goals17%83%
Total42.8%57.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Ayr Utd

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.46 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.63 @ Pinnacle
Away1.85 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.02 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.86 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ Unibet
No1.93 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Airdrie United = 0.68 (league 1.33), Ayr Utd = 1.57 (league 1.24)

Ayr Utd
0 1 2 3 4 5
Airdrie United 0 10.6% 16.6% 13.0% 6.8% 2.7% 0.8%
1 7.2% 11.3% 8.8% 4.6% 1.8% 0.6%
2 2.4% 3.8% 3.0% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
3 0.6% 0.9% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 16.0% · Draw 25.2% · Away win 58.3%

Vtot 8 , Vtod1