Sat, Nov 22 2025 • 15:00 •
The Creek
Expected Goals
0.68 (league 1.76)
2.02 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 11.5% | 19.7% | 67.1% |
best score tips
0 - 2
13.7%
0 - 1
13.6%
1 - 2
9.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Malvern Town | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Bristol Manor Farm | 0 | 6.7% | 13.6% | 13.7% | 9.2% | 4.6% | 1.9% |
| 1 | 4.6% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 1.3% | |
| 2 | 1.6% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Bristol Manor Farm | Malvern Town |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 60% |
| Attack | 62% | 54% |
| Defense | 54% | 23% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
89%
FT probability
2.5+
63%
FT probability
3.5+
45%
FT probability
BTTS
73%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Bristol Manor Farm | Malvern Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 9 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 15 |
| Wins | 33% | 11% | 20% | 67% | 67% | 67% |
| Draws | 33% | 11% | 20% | 0% | 17% | 7% |
| Loses | 33% | 78% | 60% | 33% | 17% | 27% |
Form: Bristol Manor Farm: LLDLWLLLLDWDLWL • Malvern Town: WWWDWLWLWWLLWWW
League goals
| Metric | Bristol Manor Farm | Malvern Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 7 | 13 | 20 | 20 | 10 | 30 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 2.2 | 1.7 | 2.0 |
| GA total | 9 | 25 | 34 | 16 | 6 | 22 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 2.8 | 2.3 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Bristol Manor Farm | Malvern Town | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 73% | 87% | 100% | 60% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 73% | 60% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 13% | 53% | 33% | 20% |
| 3.5 | 7% | 13% | 7% | 13% |
| 4.5 | 7% | 0% | 0% | 13% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Bristol Manor Farm | Malvern Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Bristol Manor Farm | Malvern Town |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Bristol Manor Farm | Malvern Town |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 3-5 | 4-1 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 4-0 | 1-6 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 6 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Bristol Manor Farm | Malvern Town |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 44% | 56% |
| Att | 53% | 47% |
| Def | 63% | 38% |
| Poisson Distribution | 26% | 74% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 54% | 46% |
| Total | 48.3% | 51.8% |
Advice: Double chance : Bristol Manor Farm or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Bristol Manor Farm = 0.68 (league 1.76), Malvern Town = 2.02 (league 1.26)
| Malvern Town | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Bristol Manor Farm | 0 | 6.7% | 13.6% | 13.7% | 9.2% | 4.6% | 1.9% |
| 1 | 4.6% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 1.3% | |
| 2 | 1.6% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 11.5% · Draw 19.7% · Away win 67.1%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1