Sat, Nov 22 2025 • 15:30 •
Estadio El Montecillo
Expected Goals
1.12 (league 1.25)
0.49 (league 0.97)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 51.0% | 32.6% | 16.3% |
best score tips
1 - 0
22.3%
0 - 0
20.0%
2 - 0
12.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Atlético Mansillés | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Arandina | 0 | 20.0% | 9.9% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 22.3% | 11.0% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.5% | 6.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.6% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Arandina | Atlético Mansillés |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 60% |
| Attack | 30% | 40% |
| Defense | 40% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
52%
FT probability
2.5+
37%
FT probability
3.5+
26%
FT probability
BTTS
56%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Arandina | Atlético Mansillés | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 6 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| Wins | 40% | 17% | 27% | 67% | 40% | 55% |
| Draws | 40% | 0% | 18% | 33% | 0% | 18% |
| Loses | 20% | 83% | 55% | 0% | 60% | 27% |
Form: Arandina: LDWLLWLWLDL • Atlético Mansillés: LDWWWDLWWLW
League goals
| Metric | Arandina | Atlético Mansillés | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 3 | 12 | 15 | 1 | 7 | 8 |
| GA avg | 0.6 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 0.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Arandina | Atlético Mansillés | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 45% | 73% | 55% | 55% |
| 1.5 | 18% | 36% | 27% | 18% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 18% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 9% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Arandina | Atlético Mansillés | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Arandina | Atlético Mansillés |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Arandina | Atlético Mansillés |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-1 | 2-1 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 4-0 | — | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 4 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Arandina | Atlético Mansillés |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 31% | 69% |
| Att | 43% | 57% |
| Def | 45% | 55% |
| Poisson Distribution | 71% | 29% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 100% | 0% |
| Total | 47.5% | 52.5% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Arandina or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Arandina = 1.12 (league 1.25), Atlético Mansillés = 0.49 (league 0.97)
| Atlético Mansillés | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Arandina | 0 | 20.0% | 9.9% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 22.3% | 11.0% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.5% | 6.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.6% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 51.0% · Draw 32.6% · Away win 16.3%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1