Sat, Nov 22 2025 • 16:00 •
Stade Charlety
Expected Goals
5.13 (league 1.93)
0.38 (league 1.33)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 57.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
best score tips
5 - 0
11.9%
4 - 0
11.6%
3 - 0
9.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Montpellier W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Paris FC W | 0 | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 5.3% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.1% | 3.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 11.6% | 4.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 11.9% | 4.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Paris FC W | Montpellier W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 40% |
| Attack | 65% | 59% |
| Defense | 65% | 24% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 13 | 2.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
77%
FT probability
3.5+
55%
FT probability
BTTS
82%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Paris FC W | Montpellier W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Wins | 100% | 50% | 71% | 50% | 0% | 29% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | 50% | 29% | 50% | 100% | 71% |
Form: Paris FC W: WWWLWLW • Montpellier W: LLLWWLL
League goals
| Metric | Paris FC W | Montpellier W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 10 | 5 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 12 |
| GF avg | 3.3 | 1.3 | 2.1 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 1 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 17 |
| GA avg | 0.3 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 2.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Paris FC W | Montpellier W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 86% | 57% | 100% | 86% |
| 1.5 | 71% | 14% | 57% | 71% |
| 2.5 | 14% | 14% | 14% | 43% |
| 3.5 | 14% | 0% | 0% | 29% |
| 4.5 | 14% | 0% | 0% | 14% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Paris FC W | Montpellier W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Paris FC W | Montpellier W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Paris FC W | Montpellier W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 6-1 | 0-2 | 3-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 3-1 | 1-5 | 4-2 |
| Goals For | 6 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Paris FC W | Montpellier W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 60% | 40% |
| Att | 52% | 48% |
| Def | 68% | 32% |
| Poisson Distribution | 93% | 7% |
| H2h | 80% | 20% |
| Goals | 72% | 28% |
| Total | 70.8% | 29.2% |
Advice: Combo Winner : Paris FC W and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Paris FC W = 5.13 (league 1.93), Montpellier W = 0.38 (league 1.33)
| Montpellier W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Paris FC W | 0 | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 5.3% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.1% | 3.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 11.6% | 4.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 11.9% | 4.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.2% · Draw 1.7% · Away win 0.4%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1