Serie B — Italy
Sat, Nov 22 2025 • 16:15 • Stadio Euganeo
Match Finished
0 - 2
Expected Goals
1.27 (league 1.43) 1.30 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
35.8% 26.6% 37.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.6%
0 - 1
10.0%
1 - 0
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
Venezia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Padova 0 7.7% 10.0% 6.5% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2%
1 9.7% 12.6% 8.2% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3%
2 6.2% 8.0% 5.2% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
3 2.6% 3.4% 2.2% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.8% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPadovaVenezia
Played55
Form40%47%
Attack31%63%
Defense69%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 110 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Padova Venezia
HATHAT
Played57126612
Wins20%29%25%83%0%42%
Draws60%29%42%0%67%33%
Loses20%43%33%17%33%25%

Form: Padova: LDLWWDLWDDDL • Venezia: WDDLWDWDLWLW

League goals

Metric Padova Venezia
HATHAT
GF total751214620
GF avg1.40.71.02.31.01.7
GA total77144812
GA avg1.41.01.20.71.31.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePadovaVenezia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%75%83%58%
1.525%33%58%33%
2.50%8%25%8%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPadovaVenezia
HATHAT
Clean sheets033325
Failed to score123022

Penalties

MetricPadovaVenezia
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total33

Streaks

MetricPadovaVenezia
Wins21
Draws32
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-13-0—
Biggest losses0-13-11-23-2
Goals For2132
Goals Against2323

Model comparison

MetricPadovaVenezia
Form46%54%
Att33%67%
Def58%42%
Poisson Distribution49%51%
H2h50%50%
Goals56%44%
Total48.7%51.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Venezia

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.74 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.53 @ Pinnacle
Away1.85 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.25 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.70 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.08 @ 188Bet
No1.84 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Padova = 1.27 (league 1.43), Venezia = 1.30 (league 1.08)

Venezia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Padova 0 7.7% 10.0% 6.5% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2%
1 9.7% 12.6% 8.2% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3%
2 6.2% 8.0% 5.2% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
3 2.6% 3.4% 2.2% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.8% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 35.8% · Draw 26.6% · Away win 37.2%

Vtot 4 , Vtod1