Ligue 2 — France
Sat, Nov 22 2025 • 19:00 • Stade Geoffroy-Guichard
Not Started
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Expected Goals
3.56 (league 1.43) 1.39 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
62.5% 11.8% 10.4%
best score tips
3 - 1
7.4%
4 - 1
6.6%
2 - 1
6.2%
Score & goals probability table
Nancy
0 1 2 3 4 5
Saint Etienne 0 0.7% 1.0% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 2.5% 3.5% 2.4% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
2 4.5% 6.2% 4.3% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
3 5.3% 7.4% 5.2% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%
4 4.7% 6.6% 4.6% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
5 3.4% 4.7% 3.3% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSaint EtienneNancy
Played55
Form40%20%
Attack86%21%
Defense21%43%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.43 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

67%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Saint Etienne Nancy
HATHAT
Played68147714
Wins50%63%57%29%29%29%
Draws17%13%14%14%29%21%
Loses33%25%29%57%43%50%

Form: Saint Etienne: DWWDWWWLWLLWLW • Nancy: DWWDLLWLDLLWLL

League goals

Metric Saint Etienne Nancy
HATHAT
GF total1813315813
GF avg3.01.62.20.71.10.9
GA total9122171219
GA avg1.51.51.51.01.71.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSaint EtienneNancy
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.593%64%50%79%
1.564%50%36%36%
2.536%29%7%14%
3.514%7%0%7%
4.57%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSaint EtienneNancy
HATHAT
Clean sheets235213
Failed to score011437

Penalties

MetricSaint EtienneNancy
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricSaint EtienneNancy
Wins32
Draws11
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-00-22-01-3
Biggest losses2-34-00-24-1
Goals For6323
Goals Against3424

Model comparison

MetricSaint EtienneNancy
Form67%33%
Att80%20%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution73%27%
H2h50%50%
Goals56%44%
Total61.3%38.7%

Advice: Combo Winner : Saint Etienne and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.65 @ Betano
Draw4.15 @ Betano
Away5.00 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.74 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.52.18 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ 188Bet
No2.10 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Saint Etienne = 3.56 (league 1.43), Nancy = 1.39 (league 1.18)

Nancy
0 1 2 3 4 5
Saint Etienne 0 0.7% 1.0% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 2.5% 3.5% 2.4% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
2 4.5% 6.2% 4.3% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
3 5.3% 7.4% 5.2% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%
4 4.7% 6.6% 4.6% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
5 3.4% 4.7% 3.3% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 62.5% · Draw 11.8% · Away win 10.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1