Sat, Nov 22 2025 • 21:30 •
Unidad Deportiva Chapultepec
Expected Goals
2.90 (league 1.52)
1.88 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 51.7% | 17.0% | 22.7% |
best score tips
2 - 1
6.7%
3 - 1
6.4%
2 - 2
6.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Reboceros La Piedad | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Guerreros | 0 | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 2.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 3.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% | |
| 3 | 3.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% | |
| 4 | 2.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | |
| 5 | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Guerreros | Reboceros La Piedad |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 47% |
| Attack | 74% | 42% |
| Defense | 42% | 47% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 14 | 2.8 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
73%
FT probability
3.5+
52%
FT probability
BTTS
79%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Guerreros | Reboceros La Piedad | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 6 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
| Wins | 50% | 33% | 42% | 17% | 33% | 25% |
| Draws | 17% | 0% | 8% | 0% | 17% | 8% |
| Loses | 33% | 67% | 50% | 83% | 50% | 67% |
Form: Guerreros: LWLDLWLLWWLW • Reboceros La Piedad: LLLLLLWLWWDL
League goals
| Metric | Guerreros | Reboceros La Piedad | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 13 | 9 | 22 | 8 | 8 | 16 |
| GF avg | 2.2 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 10 | 13 | 23 | 16 | 12 | 28 |
| GA avg | 1.7 | 2.2 | 1.9 | 2.7 | 2.0 | 2.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Guerreros | Reboceros La Piedad | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 83% | 92% | 58% | 92% |
| 1.5 | 58% | 42% | 42% | 75% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 25% | 25% | 50% |
| 3.5 | 17% | 17% | 8% | 8% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 17% | 0% | 8% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Guerreros | Reboceros La Piedad | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Guerreros | Reboceros La Piedad |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 4 | 80.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 20.00% |
| Total | 0 | 5 |
Streaks
| Metric | Guerreros | Reboceros La Piedad |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 6 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 1-4 | 3-1 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 4-5 | 5-0 | 0-5 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 5 | 5 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Guerreros | Reboceros La Piedad |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 56% | 44% |
| Att | 64% | 36% |
| Def | 48% | 52% |
| Poisson Distribution | 61% | 39% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 57.3% | 42.8% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Guerreros or draw and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Guerreros = 2.90 (league 1.52), Reboceros La Piedad = 1.88 (league 1.18)
| Reboceros La Piedad | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Guerreros | 0 | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 2.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 3.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% | |
| 3 | 3.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% | |
| 4 | 2.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | |
| 5 | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 51.7% · Draw 17.0% · Away win 22.7%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1