Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 11:00 •
Estadio La Nueva Balastera
Expected Goals
1.76 (league 1.25)
0.25 (league 0.97)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 74.4% | 20.0% | 4.6% |
best score tips
1 - 0
23.7%
2 - 0
20.8%
0 - 0
13.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Numancia II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Palencia CF | 0 | 13.5% | 3.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 23.7% | 5.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 20.8% | 5.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 12.2% | 3.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Palencia CF | Numancia II |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 27% |
| Attack | 67% | 17% |
| Defense | 58% | 67% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 2 | 0.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
59%
FT probability
2.5+
42%
FT probability
3.5+
30%
FT probability
BTTS
53%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Palencia CF | Numancia II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 6 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| Wins | 80% | 67% | 73% | 17% | 0% | 9% |
| Draws | 20% | 17% | 18% | 17% | 60% | 36% |
| Loses | 0% | 17% | 9% | 67% | 40% | 55% |
Form: Palencia CF: WWWWDWLWWDW • Numancia II: DDLLLDLLLDW
League goals
| Metric | Palencia CF | Numancia II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 11 | 9 | 20 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| GF avg | 2.2 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.5 |
| GA total | 3 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 12 |
| GA avg | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Palencia CF | Numancia II | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 82% | 55% | 27% | 82% |
| 1.5 | 64% | 18% | 18% | 27% |
| 2.5 | 27% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 9% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Palencia CF | Numancia II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | Palencia CF | Numancia II |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Palencia CF | Numancia II |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 0 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-2 | 2-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-1 | 0-2 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Palencia CF | Numancia II |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 71% | 29% |
| Att | 80% | 20% |
| Def | 44% | 56% |
| Poisson Distribution | 89% | 11% |
| H2h | 75% | 25% |
| Goals | 57% | 43% |
| Total | 69.3% | 30.7% |
Advice: Double chance : Palencia CF or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Palencia CF = 1.76 (league 1.25), Numancia II = 0.25 (league 0.97)
| Numancia II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Palencia CF | 0 | 13.5% | 3.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 23.7% | 5.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 20.8% | 5.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 12.2% | 3.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 74.4% · Draw 20.0% · Away win 4.6%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1