Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 11:00 •
Estadio Municipal de Varea
Expected Goals
2.26 (league 1.49)
0.52 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 74.4% | 15.9% | 6.9% |
best score tips
2 - 0
15.9%
1 - 0
14.0%
3 - 0
12.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Villegas | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Varea | 0 | 6.2% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 14.0% | 7.3% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 15.9% | 8.2% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 12.0% | 6.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 6.8% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Varea | Villegas |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 47% |
| Attack | 100% | 60% |
| Defense | 60% | 20% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
80%
FT probability
2.5+
56%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
64%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Varea | Villegas | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 6 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| Wins | 40% | 83% | 64% | 50% | 20% | 36% |
| Draws | 40% | 17% | 27% | 17% | 20% | 18% |
| Loses | 20% | 0% | 9% | 33% | 60% | 45% |
Form: Varea: DWWWWDWLWWD • Villegas: LWDWLLLLWDW
League goals
| Metric | Varea | Villegas | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 15 | 21 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 2.5 | 1.9 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 4 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 22 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 2.8 | 2.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Varea | Villegas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 82% | 55% | 55% | 82% |
| 1.5 | 55% | 27% | 27% | 55% |
| 2.5 | 36% | 0% | 9% | 27% |
| 3.5 | 9% | 0% | 0% | 9% |
| 4.5 | 9% | 0% | 0% | 9% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Varea | Villegas | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Varea | Villegas |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Varea | Villegas |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 1-5 | 3-2 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | — | 0-3 | 7-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Varea | Villegas |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 59% | 41% |
| Att | 65% | 35% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 83% | 17% |
| H2h | 91% | 9% |
| Goals | 100% | 0% |
| Total | 73.0% | 27.0% |
Advice: Winner : Varea
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Varea = 2.26 (league 1.49), Villegas = 0.52 (league 1.24)
| Villegas | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Varea | 0 | 6.2% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 14.0% | 7.3% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 15.9% | 8.2% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 12.0% | 6.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 6.8% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 74.4% · Draw 15.9% · Away win 6.9%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1