1st Division
— Albania
Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 12:30 •
Stadiumi Liri Ballabani
Expected Goals
1.08 (league 1.34)
1.30 (league 0.99)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 30.8% | 27.6% | 41.3% |
best score tips
1 - 1
13.0%
0 - 1
12.1%
1 - 0
10.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Skenderbeu Korce | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Burreli | 0 | 9.3% | 12.1% | 7.8% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 10.0% | 13.0% | 8.4% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 5.4% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Burreli | Skenderbeu Korce |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 80% |
| Attack | 55% | 91% |
| Defense | 36% | 36% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
70%
FT probability
2.5+
49%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
61%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Burreli | Skenderbeu Korce | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 6 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| Wins | 60% | 17% | 36% | 100% | 60% | 82% |
| Draws | 20% | 50% | 36% | 0% | 20% | 9% |
| Loses | 20% | 33% | 27% | 0% | 20% | 9% |
Form: Burreli: LWDWDLWLDDW • Skenderbeu Korce: WDWWWWWWLWW
League goals
| Metric | Burreli | Skenderbeu Korce | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 5 | 11 | 13 | 8 | 21 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 2.2 | 1.6 | 1.9 |
| GA total | 4 | 11 | 15 | 2 | 6 | 8 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 0.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Burreli | Skenderbeu Korce | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 55% | 64% | 100% | 36% |
| 1.5 | 45% | 36% | 55% | 27% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 27% | 36% | 9% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 9% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Burreli | Skenderbeu Korce | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Burreli | Skenderbeu Korce |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 1 | 50.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 50.00% |
| Total | 2 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Burreli | Skenderbeu Korce |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 6 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 1-2 | 3-0 | 2-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 4-0 | — | 3-2 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Burreli | Skenderbeu Korce |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 40% | 60% |
| Att | 38% | 63% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 44% | 56% |
| H2h | 13% | 88% |
| Goals | 13% | 88% |
| Total | 33.0% | 67.5% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Skenderbeu Korce
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Burreli = 1.08 (league 1.34), Skenderbeu Korce = 1.30 (league 0.99)
| Skenderbeu Korce | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Burreli | 0 | 9.3% | 12.1% | 7.8% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 10.0% | 13.0% | 8.4% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 5.4% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.8% · Draw 27.6% · Away win 41.3%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1