Ligue A — Burundi
Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 13:00 • Stade Urunani
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.12 (league 1.45) 1.19 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
3.8% 31.0% 65.0%
best score tips
0 - 1
32.0%
0 - 0
26.9%
0 - 2
19.0%
Score & goals probability table
Flambeau du Centre
0 1 2 3 4 5
Le Messager Ngozi 0 26.9% 32.0% 19.0% 7.5% 2.2% 0.5%
1 3.3% 4.0% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
2 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLe Messager NgoziFlambeau du Centre
Played55
Form33%87%
Attack43%64%
Defense50%79%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.43 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

57%
FT probability

2.5+

40%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

56%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Le Messager Ngozi Flambeau du Centre
HATHAT
Played57126410
Wins20%14%17%83%75%80%
Draws40%29%33%0%25%10%
Loses40%57%50%17%0%10%

Form: Le Messager Ngozi: DWLLDLLWLDDL • Flambeau du Centre: WWWWLWDWWW

League goals

Metric Le Messager Ngozi Flambeau du Centre
HATHAT
GF total371011718
GF avg0.61.00.81.81.81.8
GA total41317415
GA avg0.81.91.40.70.30.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLe Messager NgoziFlambeau du Centre
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%75%90%40%
1.517%33%60%10%
2.50%25%30%0%
3.50%8%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLe Messager NgoziFlambeau du Centre
HATHAT
Clean sheets303336
Failed to score314101

Penalties

MetricLe Messager NgoziFlambeau du Centre
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricLe Messager NgoziFlambeau du Centre
Wins14
Draws21
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-01-23-00-3
Biggest losses2-34-10-1—
Goals For2233
Goals Against3421

Model comparison

MetricLe Messager NgoziFlambeau du Centre
Form28%72%
Att40%60%
Def30%70%
Poisson Distribution8%92%
H2h29%71%
Goals38%63%
Total28.8%71.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Flambeau du Centre

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Le Messager Ngozi = 0.12 (league 1.45), Flambeau du Centre = 1.19 (league 1.21)

Flambeau du Centre
0 1 2 3 4 5
Le Messager Ngozi 0 26.9% 32.0% 19.0% 7.5% 2.2% 0.5%
1 3.3% 4.0% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
2 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 3.8% · Draw 31.0% · Away win 65.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1