Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 13:30 • Campo Sportivo Comunale Villa D'Almè
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.09 (league 1.43) 0.83 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
41.3% 31.2% 27.4%
best score tips
1 - 0
16.0%
0 - 0
14.6%
1 - 1
13.3%
Score & goals probability table
Milan II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Villa Valle 0 14.6% 12.1% 5.0% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
1 16.0% 13.3% 5.5% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 8.7% 7.3% 3.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 3.2% 2.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVilla ValleMilan II
Played55
Form20%40%
Attack11%67%
Defense0%11%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 0.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.88 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Villa Valle Milan II
HATHAT
Played65115611
Wins50%20%36%60%33%45%
Draws17%20%18%20%17%18%
Loses33%60%45%20%50%36%

Form: Villa Valle: WLWDDWLWLLL • Milan II: WDWDWLLLWWL

League goals

Metric Villa Valle Milan II
HATHAT
GF total851310616
GF avg1.31.01.22.01.01.5
GA total610167714
GA avg1.02.01.51.41.21.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVilla ValleMilan II
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.564%82%64%82%
1.536%45%55%45%
2.518%9%27%0%
3.50%9%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVilla ValleMilan II
HATHAT
Clean sheets202112
Failed to score134134

Penalties

MetricVilla ValleMilan II
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricVilla ValleMilan II
Wins12
Draws21
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-33-02-3
Biggest losses0-24-00-22-1
Goals For3333
Goals Against2422

Model comparison

MetricVilla ValleMilan II
Form33%67%
Att14%86%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution63%38%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total39.3%61.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Milan II

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.00 @ 1xBet
Draw3.32 @ Marathonbet
Away3.33 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.87 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.51.82 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.71 @ Marathonbet
No1.98 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Villa Valle = 1.09 (league 1.43), Milan II = 0.83 (league 1.20)

Milan II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Villa Valle 0 14.6% 12.1% 5.0% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
1 16.0% 13.3% 5.5% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 8.7% 7.3% 3.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 3.2% 2.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.3% · Draw 31.2% · Away win 27.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1