Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 13:30 • Stadio Giovanni Paolo II
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.49 (league 1.48) 1.77 (league 0.96)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
32.2% 22.9% 43.5%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.1%
1 - 2
9.0%
2 - 1
7.5%
Score & goals probability table
Afragolese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Virtus Francavilla 0 3.8% 6.8% 6.0% 3.5% 1.6% 0.6%
1 5.7% 10.1% 9.0% 5.3% 2.3% 0.8%
2 4.3% 7.5% 6.7% 3.9% 1.8% 0.6%
3 2.1% 3.7% 3.3% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3%
4 0.8% 1.4% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVirtus FrancavillaAfragolese
Played55
Form27%80%
Attack100%100%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 112 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Virtus Francavilla Afragolese
HATHAT
Played66126612
Wins33%17%25%83%33%58%
Draws33%33%33%0%17%8%
Loses33%50%42%17%50%33%

Form: Virtus Francavilla: DWDLWDLDLLWL • Afragolese: LLDWWWLWWWLW

League goals

Metric Virtus Francavilla Afragolese
HATHAT
GF total8917121022
GF avg1.31.51.42.01.71.8
GA total6111781018
GA avg1.01.81.41.31.71.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVirtus FrancavillaAfragolese
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%83%83%75%
1.542%42%58%58%
2.517%17%33%17%
3.58%0%8%0%
4.58%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVirtus FrancavillaAfragolese
HATHAT
Clean sheets112213
Failed to score224022

Penalties

MetricVirtus FrancavillaAfragolese
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total41

Streaks

MetricVirtus FrancavillaAfragolese
Wins13
Draws11
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-02-53-20-4
Biggest losses0-13-02-33-0
Goals For3534
Goals Against2333

Model comparison

MetricVirtus FrancavillaAfragolese
Form25%75%
Att29%71%
Def46%54%
Poisson Distribution48%52%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total37.0%63.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Afragolese

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.95 @ Betano
Draw3.45 @ Unibet
Away3.70 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.68 @ Marathonbet
No2.05 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.85 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.95 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Virtus Francavilla = 1.49 (league 1.48), Afragolese = 1.77 (league 0.96)

Afragolese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Virtus Francavilla 0 3.8% 6.8% 6.0% 3.5% 1.6% 0.6%
1 5.7% 10.1% 9.0% 5.3% 2.3% 0.8%
2 4.3% 7.5% 6.7% 3.9% 1.8% 0.6%
3 2.1% 3.7% 3.3% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3%
4 0.8% 1.4% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 32.2% · Draw 22.9% · Away win 43.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1