Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 15:45 •
Stadion Woudestein
Expected Goals
0.43 (league 1.88)
6.55 (league 1.57)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 0.1% | 0.6% | 35.4% |
best score tips
0 - 5
9.4%
0 - 4
7.2%
0 - 3
4.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Twente W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Excelsior W | 0 | 0.1% | 0.6% | 2.0% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 9.4% |
| 1 | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | |
| 2 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Excelsior W | Twente W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 87% |
| Attack | 38% | 100% |
| Defense | 31% | 69% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 16 | 3.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
80%
FT probability
3.5+
57%
FT probability
BTTS
83%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Excelsior W | Twente W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| Wins | 0% | 25% | 14% | 67% | 100% | 86% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% | 0% | 14% |
| Loses | 100% | 75% | 86% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Form: Excelsior W: LLWLLLL • Twente W: WWWWDWW
League goals
| Metric | Excelsior W | Twente W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 25 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.3 | 3.8 | 3.6 |
| GA total | 8 | 7 | 15 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| GA avg | 2.7 | 1.8 | 2.1 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Excelsior W | Twente W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 57% | 100% | 100% | 71% |
| 1.5 | 29% | 57% | 86% | 14% |
| 2.5 | 14% | 43% | 86% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 14% | 43% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 29% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Excelsior W | Twente W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Excelsior W | Twente W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Excelsior W | Twente W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 4 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 1-3 | 6-0 | 0-5 |
| Biggest losses | 2-4 | 3-0 | — | — |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Excelsior W | Twente W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 19% | 81% |
| Att | 27% | 73% |
| Def | 31% | 69% |
| Poisson Distribution | 7% | 93% |
| H2h | 7% | 93% |
| Goals | 16% | 84% |
| Total | 17.8% | 82.2% |
Advice: Combo Winner : Twente W and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Excelsior W = 0.43 (league 1.88), Twente W = 6.55 (league 1.57)
| Twente W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Excelsior W | 0 | 0.1% | 0.6% | 2.0% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 9.4% |
| 1 | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | |
| 2 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 0.1% · Draw 0.6% · Away win 35.4%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1