Expected Goals
0.46 (league 1.38)
0.77 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
| 20.2% |
40.5% |
39.2% |
Score & goals probability table
|
|
Bergantiños |
|
|
0 |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
| UD Ourense |
0 |
29.2% |
22.4% |
8.6% |
2.2% |
0.4% |
0.1% |
| 1 |
13.5% |
10.4% |
4.0% |
1.0% |
0.2% |
0.0% |
| 2 |
3.1% |
2.4% |
0.9% |
0.2% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 3 |
0.5% |
0.4% |
0.1% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 4 |
0.1% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 5 |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | UD Ourense | Bergantiños |
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 87% | 60% |
| Attack | 55% | 55% |
| Defense | 82% | 73% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric |
UD Ourense |
Bergantiños |
| H | A | T | H | A | T |
| Played | 5 | 6 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| Wins | 40% | 33% | 36% | 50% | 40% | 45% |
| Draws | 20% | 50% | 36% | 50% | 40% | 45% |
| Loses | 40% | 17% | 27% | 0% | 20% | 9% |
Form: UD Ourense: LDLLDDWWWDW • Bergantiños: DLWDWWWWDDD
League goals
| Metric |
UD Ourense |
Bergantiños |
| H | A | T | H | A | T |
| GF total | 4 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 15 |
| GF avg | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 4 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | UD Ourense | Bergantiños |
| For | Against | For | Against |
| 0.5 | 73% | 73% | 73% | 55% |
| 1.5 | 9% | 0% | 36% | 27% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 18% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 9% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | UD Ourense | Bergantiños |
| H | A | T | H | A | T |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | UD Ourense | Bergantiños |
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | UD Ourense | Bergantiños |
| Wins | 3 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 0-1 | 4-2 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 1-0 | — | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | UD Ourense | Bergantiños |
|---|
| Form | 59% | 41% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 60% | 40% |
| Poisson Distribution | 41% | 59% |
| H2h | 20% | 80% |
| Goals | 29% | 71% |
| Total | 43.2% | 56.8% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Bergantiños and -3.5 goals
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.27 @ Betano
Draw3.05 @ Betano
Away3.25 @ Betfair
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.75 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.44 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.20 @ Betfair
No1.64 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
Bet365
Updated: 2025-11-19T02:30:29+00:00
Bet ID 1 — Match Winner
| Selection | Odds |
| Home |
2.20 |
| Draw |
3.00 |
| Away |
3.10 |
Bet ID 2 — Home/Away
| Selection | Odds |
| Home |
1.62 |
| Away |
2.20 |
Bet ID 4 — Asian Handicap
| Selection | Odds |
| Home -0.25 |
1.98 |
| Away -0.25 |
1.82 |
Bet ID 5 — Goals Over/Under
| Selection | Odds |
| Over 2.5 |
2.62 |
| Under 2.5 |
1.44 |
Bet ID 7 — HT/FT Double
| Selection | Odds |
| Home/Draw |
17.00 |
| Home/Away |
41.00 |
| Draw/Away |
6.50 |
| Draw/Draw |
4.33 |
| Home/Home |
3.75 |
| Draw/Home |
5.50 |
| Away/Home |
34.00 |
| Away/Draw |
17.00 |
| Away/Away |
5.00 |
Bet ID 10 — Exact Score
| Selection | Odds |
| 1:0 |
6.00 |
| 2:0 |
9.50 |
| 2:1 |
12.00 |
| 3:0 |
19.00 |
| 3:1 |
26.00 |
| 3:2 |
41.00 |
| 4:0 |
41.00 |
| 4:1 |
51.00 |
| 0:0 |
6.00 |
| 1:1 |
7.00 |
| 2:2 |
23.00 |
| 0:1 |
7.50 |
| 0:2 |
13.00 |
| 0:3 |
29.00 |
| 1:2 |
15.00 |
| 1:3 |
34.00 |
| 2:3 |
51.00 |
| 3:3 |
81.00 |
| 0:4 |
51.00 |
| 1:4 |
67.00 |
| 4:2 |
81.00 |
| 5:0 |
81.00 |
Bet ID 31 — Correct Score - First Half
| Selection | Odds |
| 1:0 |
4.33 |
| 2:0 |
13.00 |
| 2:1 |
29.00 |
| 3:0 |
41.00 |
| 3:1 |
81.00 |
| 0:0 |
2.25 |
| 1:1 |
10.00 |
| 2:2 |
81.00 |
| 0:1 |
5.00 |
| 0:2 |
19.00 |
| 0:3 |
67.00 |
| 1:2 |
34.00 |
Bet ID 12 — Double Chance
| Selection | Odds |
| Home/Draw |
1.28 |
| Home/Away |
1.30 |
| Draw/Away |
1.55 |
Bet ID 13 — First Half Winner
| Selection | Odds |
| Home |
3.10 |
| Draw |
1.91 |
| Away |
4.00 |
Bet ID 14 — Team To Score First
| Selection | Odds |
| Home |
1.91 |
| Draw |
6.00 |
| Away |
2.38 |
Bet ID 19 — Asian Handicap First Half
| Selection | Odds |
| Home +0 |
1.68 |
| Away +0 |
2.15 |
Bet ID 20 — Double Chance - First Half
| Selection | Odds |
| Home/Draw |
1.22 |
| Home/Away |
1.80 |
| Draw/Away |
1.36 |
Bet ID 21 — Odd/Even
| Selection | Odds |
| Odd |
2.00 |
| Even |
1.85 |
Bet ID 22 — Odd/Even - First Half
| Selection | Odds |
| Odd |
2.30 |
| Even |
1.62 |
Bet ID 63 — Odd/Even - Second Half
| Selection | Odds |
| Odd |
2.10 |
| Even |
1.67 |
Bet ID 50 — Goal Line
| Selection | Odds |
| Over 2 |
2.02 |
| Under 2 |
1.78 |
Bet ID 72 — Goal Line (1st Half)
| Selection | Odds |
| Over 0.75 |
1.88 |
| Under 0.75 |
1.92 |
Betfair
Updated: 2025-11-19T02:30:29+00:00
Bet ID 1 — Match Winner
| Selection | Odds |
| Home |
2.20 |
| Draw |
2.90 |
| Away |
3.25 |
Bet ID 5 — Goals Over/Under
| Selection | Odds |
| Over 1.5 |
1.50 |
| Under 1.5 |
2.40 |
| Over 2.5 |
2.75 |
| Under 2.5 |
1.40 |
| Over 3.5 |
5.50 |
| Under 3.5 |
1.11 |
| Over 0.5 |
1.07 |
| Under 0.5 |
7.00 |
| Over 4.5 |
11.00 |
| Under 4.5 |
1.01 |
Bet ID 7 — HT/FT Double
| Selection | Odds |
| Home/Draw |
13.00 |
| Home/Away |
41.00 |
| Draw/Away |
7.00 |
| Draw/Draw |
4.00 |
| Home/Home |
3.75 |
| Draw/Home |
5.00 |
| Away/Home |
26.00 |
| Away/Draw |
13.00 |
| Away/Away |
5.50 |
Bet ID 8 — Both Teams Score
| Selection | Odds |
| Yes |
2.20 |
| No |
1.62 |
Bet ID 9 — Handicap Result
| Selection | Odds |
| Home -1 |
5.00 |
| Away -1 |
1.53 |
| Draw -1 |
3.60 |
Bet ID 10 — Exact Score
| Selection | Odds |
| 1:0 |
5.00 |
| 2:0 |
8.00 |
| 2:1 |
8.50 |
| 3:0 |
19.00 |
| 3:1 |
19.00 |
| 3:2 |
36.00 |
| 4:0 |
56.00 |
| 0:0 |
5.50 |
| 1:1 |
5.00 |
| 2:2 |
15.00 |
| 0:1 |
6.00 |
| 0:2 |
12.00 |
| 0:3 |
34.00 |
| 1:2 |
10.00 |
| 1:3 |
31.00 |
| 2:3 |
51.00 |
Bet ID 13 — First Half Winner
| Selection | Odds |
| Home |
3.00 |
| Draw |
1.91 |
| Away |
4.00 |
1xBet
Updated: 2025-11-19T02:30:29+00:00
Bet ID 1 — Match Winner
| Selection | Odds |
| Home |
2.22 |
| Draw |
3.00 |
| Away |
3.16 |
Bet ID 4 — Asian Handicap
| Selection | Odds |
| Home -0.25 |
1.98 |
| Away -0.25 |
1.82 |
| Home +0 |
1.62 |
| Away +0 |
2.20 |
Bet ID 5 — Goals Over/Under
| Selection | Odds |
| Over 1.5 |
1.53 |
| Under 1.5 |
2.38 |
| Over 2.0 |
2.02 |
| Under 2.0 |
1.78 |
| Over 2.5 |
2.75 |
| Under 2.5 |
1.40 |
| Over 3.5 |
5.50 |
| Under 3.5 |
1.12 |
| Over 0.5 |
1.07 |
| Under 0.5 |
6.50 |
| Over 4.5 |
10.00 |
| Under 4.5 |
1.03 |
Bet ID 6 — Goals Over/Under First Half
| Selection | Odds |
| Over 1.5 |
3.75 |
| Under 1.5 |
1.22 |
| Over 2.5 |
9.50 |
| Under 2.5 |
1.04 |
| Over 3.5 |
41.00 |
| Over 0.5 |
1.53 |
| Under 0.5 |
2.38 |
Bet ID 7 — HT/FT Double
| Selection | Odds |
| Home/Draw |
17.00 |
| Home/Away |
41.00 |
| Draw/Away |
6.50 |
| Draw/Draw |
4.33 |
| Home/Home |
3.75 |
| Draw/Home |
5.50 |
| Away/Home |
34.00 |
| Away/Draw |
17.00 |
| Away/Away |
5.00 |
Bet ID 8 — Both Teams Score
| Selection | Odds |
| Yes |
2.20 |
| No |
1.64 |
Bet ID 10 — Exact Score
| Selection | Odds |
| 1:0 |
5.00 |
| 2:0 |
8.00 |
| 2:1 |
8.50 |
| 3:0 |
19.00 |
| 3:1 |
19.00 |
| 3:2 |
36.00 |
| 4:0 |
55.00 |
| 4:1 |
70.00 |
| 0:0 |
6.50 |
| 1:1 |
5.00 |
| 2:2 |
15.00 |
| 0:1 |
6.00 |
| 0:2 |
12.00 |
| 0:3 |
34.00 |
| 1:2 |
10.00 |
| 1:3 |
31.00 |
| 2:3 |
50.00 |
| 3:3 |
100.00 |
| 0:4 |
100.00 |
| 1:4 |
100.00 |
| 2:4 |
100.00 |
| 4:2 |
100.00 |
| 0:5 |
100.00 |
| 0:6 |
100.00 |
| 1:5 |
100.00 |
| 1:6 |
100.00 |
| 2:5 |
100.00 |
| 2:6 |
100.00 |
| 3:4 |
100.00 |
| 5:0 |
100.00 |
| 5:1 |
100.00 |
| 5:2 |
100.00 |
| 6:0 |
100.00 |
| 6:1 |
100.00 |
| 6:2 |
100.00 |
| 4:3 |
100.00 |
| 3:5 |
100.00 |
| 3:6 |
100.00 |
| 4:5 |
100.00 |
| 4:6 |
100.00 |
| 5:3 |
100.00 |
| 5:4 |
100.00 |
| 5:6 |
100.00 |
| 6:3 |
100.00 |
| 6:4 |
100.00 |
| 6:5 |
100.00 |
| 4:4 |
100.00 |
| 7:0 |
100.00 |
| 7:1 |
100.00 |
| 7:2 |
100.00 |
| 7:3 |
100.00 |
| 7:4 |
100.00 |
| 8:0 |
100.00 |
| 8:1 |
100.00 |
| 8:2 |
100.00 |
| 8:3 |
100.00 |
| 9:0 |
100.00 |
| 9:1 |
100.00 |
| 9:2 |
100.00 |
| 10:0 |
100.00 |
| 10:1 |
100.00 |
| 11:0 |
100.00 |
| 5:5 |
100.00 |
| 0:7 |
100.00 |
| 0:8 |
100.00 |
| 0:9 |
100.00 |
| 0:10 |
100.00 |
| 0:11 |
100.00 |
| 1:7 |
100.00 |
| 1:8 |
100.00 |
| 1:9 |
100.00 |
| 1:10 |
100.00 |
| 2:7 |
100.00 |
| 2:8 |
100.00 |
| 2:9 |
100.00 |
| 3:7 |
100.00 |
| 3:8 |
100.00 |
| 4:7 |
100.00 |
Bet ID 31 — Correct Score - First Half
| Selection | Odds |
| 1:0 |
4.33 |
| 2:0 |
13.00 |
| 2:1 |
29.00 |
| 3:0 |
41.00 |
| 3:1 |
80.00 |
| 0:0 |
2.38 |
| 1:1 |
10.00 |
| 2:2 |
80.00 |
| 0:1 |
5.00 |
| 0:2 |
19.00 |
| 0:3 |
65.00 |
| 1:2 |
34.00 |
Bet ID 12 — Double Chance
| Selection | Odds |
| Home/Draw |
1.29 |
| Home/Away |
1.30 |
| Draw/Away |
1.55 |
Bet ID 13 — First Half Winner
| Selection | Odds |
| Home |
3.12 |
| Draw |
1.91 |
| Away |
4.11 |
Bet ID 20 — Double Chance - First Half
| Selection | Odds |
| Home/Draw |
1.22 |
| Home/Away |
1.80 |
| Draw/Away |
1.36 |
Betano
Updated: 2025-11-19T02:30:29+00:00
Bet ID 1 — Match Winner
| Selection | Odds |
| Home |
2.27 |
| Draw |
3.05 |
| Away |
3.10 |
Bet ID 2 — Home/Away
| Selection | Odds |
| Home |
1.57 |
| Away |
2.10 |
Bet ID 3 — Second Half Winner
| Selection | Odds |
| Home |
2.70 |
| Draw |
2.18 |
| Away |
3.45 |
Bet ID 4 — Asian Handicap
| Selection | Odds |
| Home -0.25 |
1.93 |
| Away -0.25 |
1.78 |
Bet ID 5 — Goals Over/Under
| Selection | Odds |
| Over 1.5 |
1.52 |
| Under 1.5 |
2.22 |
| Over 2.0 |
1.98 |
| Under 2.0 |
1.75 |
| Over 2.5 |
2.47 |
| Under 2.5 |
1.42 |
| Over 3.5 |
4.30 |
| Under 3.5 |
1.14 |
Bet ID 6 — Goals Over/Under First Half
| Selection | Odds |
| Over 0.5 |
1.57 |
| Under 0.5 |
2.12 |
| Over 0.75 |
1.85 |
| Under 0.75 |
1.82 |
Bet ID 26 — Goals Over/Under - Second Half
| Selection | Odds |
| Over 1.5 |
2.60 |
| Under 1.5 |
1.42 |
Bet ID 7 — HT/FT Double
| Selection | Odds |
| Home/Draw |
15.50 |
| Home/Away |
45.00 |
| Draw/Away |
6.40 |
| Draw/Draw |
4.00 |
| Home/Home |
3.70 |
| Draw/Home |
4.90 |
| Away/Home |
37.00 |
| Away/Draw |
15.50 |
| Away/Away |
5.20 |
Bet ID 8 — Both Teams Score
| Selection | Odds |
| Yes |
2.12 |
| No |
1.57 |
Bet ID 10 — Exact Score
| Selection | Odds |
| 1:0 |
5.40 |
| 2:0 |
8.75 |
| 2:1 |
9.50 |
| 3:0 |
20.00 |
| 3:1 |
22.00 |
| 3:2 |
45.00 |
| 4:0 |
60.00 |
| 4:1 |
65.00 |
| 0:0 |
6.40 |
| 1:1 |
5.80 |
| 2:2 |
18.50 |
| 0:1 |
6.50 |
| 0:2 |
13.00 |
| 0:3 |
37.00 |
| 1:2 |
11.50 |
| 1:3 |
32.00 |
| 2:3 |
55.00 |
| 3:3 |
120.00 |
| 0:4 |
120.00 |
| 1:4 |
120.00 |
| 2:4 |
200.00 |
| 4:2 |
120.00 |
| 0:5 |
600.00 |
| 1:5 |
500.00 |
| 3:4 |
450.00 |
| 5:0 |
200.00 |
| 5:1 |
250.00 |
| 5:2 |
500.00 |
| 4:3 |
350.00 |
Bet ID 11 — Highest Scoring Half
| Selection | Odds |
| Draw |
2.92 |
| 1st Half |
3.15 |
| 2nd Half |
2.12 |
Bet ID 31 — Correct Score - First Half
| Selection | Odds |
| 1:0 |
3.90 |
| 2:0 |
13.00 |
| 2:1 |
29.00 |
| 3:0 |
60.00 |
| 3:1 |
150.00 |
| 3:2 |
500.00 |
| 4:0 |
350.00 |
| 0:0 |
2.10 |
| 1:1 |
8.50 |
| 2:2 |
120.00 |
| 0:1 |
4.70 |
| 0:2 |
19.00 |
| 0:3 |
110.00 |
| 1:2 |
35.00 |
| 1:3 |
200.00 |
Bet ID 12 — Double Chance
| Selection | Odds |
| Home/Draw |
1.31 |
| Home/Away |
1.32 |
| Draw/Away |
1.60 |
Bet ID 13 — First Half Winner
| Selection | Odds |
| Home |
3.05 |
| Draw |
1.87 |
| Away |
3.90 |
Bet ID 16 — Total - Home
| Selection | Odds |
| Over 1.5 |
2.75 |
| Under 1.5 |
1.40 |
| Over 0.5 |
1.40 |
| Under 0.5 |
2.75 |
Bet ID 17 — Total - Away
| Selection | Odds |
| Over 0.5 |
1.57 |
| Under 0.5 |
2.25 |
Bet ID 20 — Double Chance - First Half
| Selection | Odds |
| Home/Draw |
1.22 |
| Home/Away |
1.75 |
| Draw/Away |
1.35 |
Bet ID 21 — Odd/Even
| Selection | Odds |
| Odd |
1.88 |
| Even |
1.83 |
Bet ID 40 — Home Team Exact Goals Number
| Selection | Odds |
| 0 |
2.75 |
| 1 |
2.50 |
| 2 |
4.15 |
| 3 |
10.00 |
| more 4 |
25.00 |
Bet ID 41 — Away Team Exact Goals Number
| Selection | Odds |
| 0 |
2.25 |
| 1 |
2.47 |
| 2 |
5.00 |
| 3 |
14.50 |
| more 4 |
45.00 |
Bet ID 105 — Home Team Total Goals(1st Half)
| Selection | Odds |
| Over 0.5 |
2.30 |
| Under 0.5 |
1.55 |
Bet ID 106 — Away Team Total Goals(1st Half)
| Selection | Odds |
| Over 0.5 |
2.67 |
| Under 0.5 |
1.42 |
Bet ID 109 — Draw No Bet (1st Half)
| Selection | Odds |
| Home |
1.62 |
| Away |
2.02 |
Bet ID 182 — Draw No Bet (2nd Half)
| Selection | Odds |
| Home |
1.60 |
| Away |
2.05 |
Bet ID 184 — To Score in Both Halves
| Selection | Odds |
| Yes |
2.12 |
| No |
1.57 |
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ):
UD Ourense = 0.46 (league 1.38),
Bergantiños = 0.77 (league 1.04)
|
|
Bergantiños |
|
|
0 |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
| UD Ourense |
0 |
29.2% |
22.4% |
8.6% |
2.2% |
0.4% |
0.1% |
| 1 |
13.5% |
10.4% |
4.0% |
1.0% |
0.2% |
0.0% |
| 2 |
3.1% |
2.4% |
0.9% |
0.2% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 3 |
0.5% |
0.4% |
0.1% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 4 |
0.1% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 5 |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
Outcome probabilities:
Home win 20.2% ·
Draw 40.5% ·
Away win 39.2%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1