Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 16:00 • Estadio O Couto
Not Started
Expected Goals
0.46 (league 1.38) 0.77 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
20.2% 40.5% 39.2%
best score tips
0 - 0
29.2%
0 - 1
22.4%
1 - 0
13.5%
Score & goals probability table
Bergantiños
0 1 2 3 4 5
UD Ourense 0 29.2% 22.4% 8.6% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1%
1 13.5% 10.4% 4.0% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 3.1% 2.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUD OurenseBergantiños
Played55
Form87%60%
Attack55%55%
Defense82%73%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.43 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

51%
FT probability

2.5+

36%
FT probability

3.5+

25%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric UD Ourense Bergantiños
HATHAT
Played56116511
Wins40%33%36%50%40%45%
Draws20%50%36%50%40%45%
Loses40%17%27%0%20%9%

Form: UD Ourense: LDLLDDWWWDW • Bergantiños: DLWDWWWWDDD

League goals

Metric UD Ourense Bergantiños
HATHAT
GF total45910515
GF avg0.80.80.81.71.01.4
GA total448549
GA avg0.80.70.70.80.80.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUD OurenseBergantiños
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%73%73%55%
1.59%0%36%27%
2.50%0%18%0%
3.50%0%9%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUD OurenseBergantiños
HATHAT
Clean sheets123325
Failed to score213213

Penalties

MetricUD OurenseBergantiños
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricUD OurenseBergantiños
Wins34
Draws21
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-14-21-2
Biggest losses0-11-02-1
Goals For2142
Goals Against1122

Model comparison

MetricUD OurenseBergantiños
Form59%41%
Att50%50%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution41%59%
H2h20%80%
Goals29%71%
Total43.2%56.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Bergantiños and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.27 @ Betano
Draw3.05 @ Betano
Away3.25 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.75 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.44 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.20 @ Betfair
No1.64 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): UD Ourense = 0.46 (league 1.38), Bergantiños = 0.77 (league 1.04)

Bergantiños
0 1 2 3 4 5
UD Ourense 0 29.2% 22.4% 8.6% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1%
1 13.5% 10.4% 4.0% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 3.1% 2.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 20.2% · Draw 40.5% · Away win 39.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1